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Geopolítica·Emirados Árabes Unidos

Os Emirados Árabes Unidos deixarão o Conselho de Cooperação do Golfo em 2026?

icon for Os Emirados Árabes Unidos deixarão o Conselho de Cooperação do Golfo em 2026?
Geopolítica·Emirados Árabes Unidos

Os Emirados Árabes Unidos deixarão o Conselho de Cooperação do Golfo em 2026?

Sim

9% chance
Polymarket
NOVO

Sim

9% chance
Polymarket
NOVO
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the UAE officially announces or formally communicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors the UAE remaining in the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) throughout 2026, with "No" at 91.5%, driven by official UAE statements explicitly ruling out departure despite its April 2026 exit from OPEC. Senior diplomat Anwar Gargash affirmed at a conference that the UAE is reviewing some multilateral ties but not the GCC, emphasizing its strategic value amid escalating Iran tensions, including missile strikes on UAE energy facilities. Recent GCC consultative summits in Jeddah (late April) saw UAE Foreign Minister Sheikh Abdullah bin Zayed actively participate, with the bloc issuing unified condemnations of Iranian attacks and calls for stronger economic integration, underscoring cohesion over fragmentation rumors. No procedural steps toward withdrawal have emerged, reinforcing the high implied probability.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the UAE officially announces or formally communicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.

Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$8,789
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 28, 2026, 3:54 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the UAE officially announces or formally communicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the UAE officially announces or formally communicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors the UAE remaining in the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) throughout 2026, with "No" at 91.5%, driven by official UAE statements explicitly ruling out departure despite its April 2026 exit from OPEC. Senior diplomat Anwar Gargash affirmed at a conference that the UAE is reviewing some multilateral ties but not the GCC, emphasizing its strategic value amid escalating Iran tensions, including missile strikes on UAE energy facilities. Recent GCC consultative summits in Jeddah (late April) saw UAE Foreign Minister Sheikh Abdullah bin Zayed actively participate, with the bloc issuing unified condemnations of Iranian attacks and calls for stronger economic integration, underscoring cohesion over fragmentation rumors. No procedural steps toward withdrawal have emerged, reinforcing the high implied probability.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the UAE officially announces or formally communicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.

Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$8,789
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 28, 2026, 3:54 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the UAE officially announces or formally communicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Os Emirados Árabes Unidos deixarão o Conselho de Cooperação do Golfo em 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Os Emirados Árabes Unidos sairão do Conselho de Cooperação do Golfo em 2026?" at 9%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 9¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 9% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Os Emirados Árabes Unidos deixarão o Conselho de Cooperação do Golfo em 2026?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 28, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Os Emirados Árabes Unidos deixarão o Conselho de Cooperação do Golfo em 2026?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "Os Emirados Árabes Unidos deixarão o Conselho de Cooperação do Golfo em 2026?" is "Os Emirados Árabes Unidos sairão do Conselho de Cooperação do Golfo em 2026?" at just 9%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "Os Emirados Árabes Unidos deixarão o Conselho de Cooperação do Golfo em 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.