The UAE’s continued participation in GCC summits and joint statements on regional security, including responses to Iranian actions in 2026, underscores the absence of any formal withdrawal process or official signals of intent to exit. Despite strains with Saudi Arabia over oil production quotas that prompted the UAE’s OPEC departure in May 2026, member states have maintained collective mechanisms on defense coordination, economic connectivity projects, and diplomatic positioning amid the Iran conflict. Traders assign only a 9.5% chance of departure this year because structural incentives—shared borders, hydrocarbon interests, and external threat responses—have historically overridden periodic bilateral frictions, with no scheduled votes, announcements, or procedural steps indicating an imminent break.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoWill UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?
Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?
$99,105 Vol.
$99,105 Vol.
31 dez 2026
$99,105 Vol.
$99,105 Vol.
31 dez 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the UAE officially announces or formally communicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The UAE’s continued participation in GCC summits and joint statements on regional security, including responses to Iranian actions in 2026, underscores the absence of any formal withdrawal process or official signals of intent to exit. Despite strains with Saudi Arabia over oil production quotas that prompted the UAE’s OPEC departure in May 2026, member states have maintained collective mechanisms on defense coordination, economic connectivity projects, and diplomatic positioning amid the Iran conflict. Traders assign only a 9.5% chance of departure this year because structural incentives—shared borders, hydrocarbon interests, and external threat responses—have historically overridden periodic bilateral frictions, with no scheduled votes, announcements, or procedural steps indicating an imminent break.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the UAE officially announces or formally communicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 28, 2026, 3:54 PM ET
Volume
$99,105Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 28, 2026, 3:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the UAE officially announces or formally communicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The UAE’s continued participation in GCC summits and joint statements on regional security, including responses to Iranian actions in 2026, underscores the absence of any formal withdrawal process or official signals of intent to exit. Despite strains with Saudi Arabia over oil production quotas that prompted the UAE’s OPEC departure in May 2026, member states have maintained collective mechanisms on defense coordination, economic connectivity projects, and diplomatic positioning amid the Iran conflict. Traders assign only a 9.5% chance of departure this year because structural incentives—shared borders, hydrocarbon interests, and external threat responses—have historically overridden periodic bilateral frictions, with no scheduled votes, announcements, or procedural steps indicating an imminent break.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the UAE officially announces or formally communicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$99,105Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 28, 2026, 3:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The UAE’s continued participation in GCC summits and joint statements on regional security, including responses to Iranian actions in 2026, underscores the absence of any formal withdrawal process or official signals of intent to exit. Despite strains with Saudi Arabia over oil production quotas that prompted the UAE’s OPEC departure in May 2026, member states have maintained collective mechanisms on defense coordination, economic connectivity projects, and diplomatic positioning amid the Iran conflict. Traders assign only a 9.5% chance of departure this year because structural incentives—shared borders, hydrocarbon interests, and external threat responses—have historically overridden periodic bilateral frictions, with no scheduled votes, announcements, or procedural steps indicating an imminent break.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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