Partisan divisions and repeated rejections of prior measures have driven trader consensus that Congress will not pass an Iran war powers resolution by May 31. Multiple Democratic efforts to invoke the War Powers Resolution and limit presidential authority over U.S. forces in Iran have failed along largely party lines in both chambers over the past several months, including a tied 212-212 House vote just days ago. Republican support for the administration’s ongoing operations, bolstered by a ceasefire in place since April, has blocked advancement despite the statutory timeline. A sudden escalation in hostilities or shift in GOP backing ahead of the deadline could still prompt reconsideration, though current legislative patterns indicate limited room for such change.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoNOVO
NOVO
31 mai 2026
NOVO
NOVO
31 mai 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both the U.S. House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate pass the same bill, measure, or resolution that seeks to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel-Iran conflict by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Legislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other military operations against Iran or its proxy forces. Non-binding statements or measures that express disapproval, call for investigation, or otherwise relate to the US/Israel-Iran conflict without seeking to limit military action will not qualify.
A measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently finally passed by both chambers in identical form.
The resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.Partisan divisions and repeated rejections of prior measures have driven trader consensus that Congress will not pass an Iran war powers resolution by May 31. Multiple Democratic efforts to invoke the War Powers Resolution and limit presidential authority over U.S. forces in Iran have failed along largely party lines in both chambers over the past several months, including a tied 212-212 House vote just days ago. Republican support for the administration’s ongoing operations, bolstered by a ceasefire in place since April, has blocked advancement despite the statutory timeline. A sudden escalation in hostilities or shift in GOP backing ahead of the deadline could still prompt reconsideration, though current legislative patterns indicate limited room for such change.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both the U.S. House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate pass the same bill, measure, or resolution that seeks to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel-Iran conflict by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Legislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other military operations against Iran or its proxy forces. Non-binding statements or measures that express disapproval, call for investigation, or otherwise relate to the US/Israel-Iran conflict without seeking to limit military action will not qualify.
A measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently finally passed by both chambers in identical form.
The resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
Legislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other military operations against Iran or its proxy forces. Non-binding statements or measures that express disapproval, call for investigation, or otherwise relate to the US/Israel-Iran conflict without seeking to limit military action will not qualify.
A measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently finally passed by both chambers in identical form.
The resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 27, 2026, 5:51 PM ET
Volume
$2,538Data de Término
31 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 27, 2026, 5:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if both the U.S. House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate pass the same bill, measure, or resolution that seeks to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel-Iran conflict by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Legislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other military operations against Iran or its proxy forces. Non-binding statements or measures that express disapproval, call for investigation, or otherwise relate to the US/Israel-Iran conflict without seeking to limit military action will not qualify.
A measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently finally passed by both chambers in identical form.
The resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.Partisan divisions and repeated rejections of prior measures have driven trader consensus that Congress will not pass an Iran war powers resolution by May 31. Multiple Democratic efforts to invoke the War Powers Resolution and limit presidential authority over U.S. forces in Iran have failed along largely party lines in both chambers over the past several months, including a tied 212-212 House vote just days ago. Republican support for the administration’s ongoing operations, bolstered by a ceasefire in place since April, has blocked advancement despite the statutory timeline. A sudden escalation in hostilities or shift in GOP backing ahead of the deadline could still prompt reconsideration, though current legislative patterns indicate limited room for such change.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both the U.S. House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate pass the same bill, measure, or resolution that seeks to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel-Iran conflict by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Legislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other military operations against Iran or its proxy forces. Non-binding statements or measures that express disapproval, call for investigation, or otherwise relate to the US/Israel-Iran conflict without seeking to limit military action will not qualify.
A measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently finally passed by both chambers in identical form.
The resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
Legislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other military operations against Iran or its proxy forces. Non-binding statements or measures that express disapproval, call for investigation, or otherwise relate to the US/Israel-Iran conflict without seeking to limit military action will not qualify.
A measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently finally passed by both chambers in identical form.
The resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$2,538Data de Término
31 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 27, 2026, 5:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Partisan divisions and repeated rejections of prior measures have driven trader consensus that Congress will not pass an Iran war powers resolution by May 31. Multiple Democratic efforts to invoke the War Powers Resolution and limit presidential authority over U.S. forces in Iran have failed along largely party lines in both chambers over the past several months, including a tied 212-212 House vote just days ago. Republican support for the administration’s ongoing operations, bolstered by a ceasefire in place since April, has blocked advancement despite the statutory timeline. A sudden escalation in hostilities or shift in GOP backing ahead of the deadline could still prompt reconsideration, though current legislative patterns indicate limited room for such change.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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