President Trump last used the phrase “Praise be to Allah” in early-April Truth Social posts during heightened U.S.-Iran tensions over the Strait of Hormuz, framing military threats in religious terms. Since those statements, the situation has shifted toward diplomatic channels, including a Pakistan-mediated 14-point peace proposal that Trump publicly rejected on May 10. No comparable escalatory rhetoric or direct confrontations prompting the same wording have emerged in the intervening weeks. With the May 31 resolution window now less than two weeks away and ongoing negotiations emphasizing de-escalation rather than new threats, traders assign an 87 percent probability to “No,” reflecting the absence of immediate catalysts for repetition of that specific language.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado$38,200 Vol.
$38,200 Vol.
$38,200 Vol.
$38,200 Vol.
A qualifying statement includes any remark by Donald Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence for the Islamic deity referred to as Allah. This can include direct praise (e.g., “Praise be to Allah”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“Allah is great”).
General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “Yes, I posted about Allah”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.
Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.
Text or speech contained in images, memes, or videos posted by Trump on his official social media accounts will qualify if it clearly expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence toward Allah, provided that any additional posted commentary from Trump does not explicitly contradict that sentiment. Media contained only within reposts or posts quoted by Trump will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 30, 2026, 2:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A qualifying statement includes any remark by Donald Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence for the Islamic deity referred to as Allah. This can include direct praise (e.g., “Praise be to Allah”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“Allah is great”).
General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “Yes, I posted about Allah”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.
Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.
Text or speech contained in images, memes, or videos posted by Trump on his official social media accounts will qualify if it clearly expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence toward Allah, provided that any additional posted commentary from Trump does not explicitly contradict that sentiment. Media contained only within reposts or posts quoted by Trump will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump last used the phrase “Praise be to Allah” in early-April Truth Social posts during heightened U.S.-Iran tensions over the Strait of Hormuz, framing military threats in religious terms. Since those statements, the situation has shifted toward diplomatic channels, including a Pakistan-mediated 14-point peace proposal that Trump publicly rejected on May 10. No comparable escalatory rhetoric or direct confrontations prompting the same wording have emerged in the intervening weeks. With the May 31 resolution window now less than two weeks away and ongoing negotiations emphasizing de-escalation rather than new threats, traders assign an 87 percent probability to “No,” reflecting the absence of immediate catalysts for repetition of that specific language.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions