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EUA X IrãO previsões e probabilidades

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Who will enter Iran by June 30?

Who will enter Iran by June 30?

1%

Any U.S. Senator

$16M Vol.

$7M today

$408K Liq.

10

Ends em 2 dias

What will Trump say during the Faith & Freedom Coalition Conference?

What will Trump say during the Faith & Freedom Coalition Conference?

<1%

Mutilation

$2M Vol.

$732K today

$2M Liq.

23

Ends há 1 dia

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

13%

December 31

$28M Vol.

$124K today

$498K Liq.

205

Ends em 6 meses

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

10%

$21M Vol.

$59.1K today

$609K Liq.

6

Ends em 6 meses

Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?

Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?

38%

Switzerland

$231K Vol.

$62.4K today

$577K Liq.

Ends em 3 meses

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30?

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30?

93%

40+

$3M Vol.

$239K today

$143K Liq.

Ends em 3 dias

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by June 30?

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by June 30?

1%

Transit Fees in the Strait of Hormuz

$13M Vol.

$87.2K today

$363K Liq.

Ends em 2 dias

 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

1%

$12M Vol.

$73.0K today

$303K Liq.

Ends em 2 dias

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

15%

$39M Vol.

$71.0K today

$288K Liq.

3

Ends em 6 meses

Iran announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?

Iran announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?

35%

July 31

$354K Vol.

$141K today

$81.4K Liq.

11

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

US announces blockade on Iran by...?

US announces blockade on Iran by...?

36%

December 31

$267K Vol.

$66.1K today

$157K Liq.

3

Ends em 6 meses

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

21%

December 31

$17M Vol.

$453K Liq.

210

Ends em 6 meses

Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?

Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?

61%

July 31

$532K Vol.

$175K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by...?

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by...?

5%

June 30

$4M Vol.

$71.6K today

$48.6K Liq.

108

Ends em 3 dias

Who will attend US-Iran signing ceremony?

Who will attend US-Iran signing ceremony?

7%

Steve Witkoff

$866K Vol.

$465K Liq.

32

Ends em 10 dias

US military draft authorized in 2026?

US military draft authorized in 2026?

9%

$433K Vol.

$49.8K Liq.

10

Ends em 6 meses

Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?

Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?

9%

Mishal Al-Ahmad Al-Jaber Al-Sabah

$2M Vol.

$481K Liq.

60

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

30%

$1M Vol.

$72.8K Liq.

Ends em 6 meses

Iran coup attempt by June 30?

Iran coup attempt by June 30?

1%

$2M Vol.

$54.9K Liq.

27

Ends em 2 dias

US x Russia military clash by...?

US x Russia military clash by...?

6%

December 31, 2026

$2M Vol.

$76.8K Liq.

18

Ends em 6 meses

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 44 active markets for EUA X IrãO that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Who will enter Iran by June 30?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $164.4M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 86% chance to No. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on EUA X IrãO predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.