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Estreito De Ormuz previsões e probabilidades

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Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

<1%

$17M Vol.

$1M today

$3M Liq.

2

Ends há cerca de 19 horas

Trump renomeia o Estreito de Ormuz para "Estreito de Trump" até 31 de maio?

Trump renomeia o Estreito de Ormuz para "Estreito de Trump" até 31 de maio?

1%

Sim

$1M Vol.

$587K today

$42.7K Liq.

41

Ends em 15 dias

O tráfego no Estreito de Ormuz volta ao normal no final de junho?

O tráfego no Estreito de Ormuz volta ao normal no final de junho?

28%

Sim

$6M Vol.

$457K today

$471K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

O tráfego no Estreito de Ormuz volta ao normal no final de maio?

O tráfego no Estreito de Ormuz volta ao normal no final de maio?

6%

Sim

$14M Vol.

$422K today

$570K Liq.

1

Ends em 15 dias

Com quais exigências iranianas Trump concordará até 31 de maio?

Com quais exigências iranianas Trump concordará até 31 de maio?

13%

Alívio das sanções ao petróleo

$1M Vol.

$360K today

$247K Liq.

Ends em 15 dias

Trump anuncia que o bloqueio de Ormuz pelos EUA foi suspenso por...?

Trump anuncia que o bloqueio de Ormuz pelos EUA foi suspenso por...?

53%

30 de junho

$18M Vol.

$262K today

$258K Liq.

462

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

A Ilha Kharg não está mais sob o controle iraniano por...?

A Ilha Kharg não está mais sob o controle iraniano por...?

9%

30 de junho

$43M Vol.

$126K today

$613K Liq.

401

Ends há cerca de 1 mês

Will Trump restart Project Freedom by...?

Will Trump restart Project Freedom by...?

38%

May 31

$228K Vol.

$90.7K today

$107K Liq.

8

Ends em 15 dias

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?

8%

United Kingdom

$923K Vol.

$119K Liq.

13

Ends em 15 dias

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

46%

$169K Vol.

$95.9K Liq.

Ends em 3 meses

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?

61%

20+

$437K Vol.

$36.9K Liq.

Ends em 15 dias

O estreito de Bab el-Mandeb foi efetivamente fechado por...?

O estreito de Bab el-Mandeb foi efetivamente fechado por...?

19%

30 de setembro

$3M Vol.

$90.7K Liq.

95

Ends há 16 dias

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

79%

$124K Vol.

$139K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of May?

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of May?

71%

0-10

$210K Vol.

$83.7K Liq.

Ends em 15 dias

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of May 11?

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of May 11?

55%

20-39

$50.8K Vol.

$17.9K Liq.

Ends em 1 dia

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?

6%

$419K Vol.

$55.0K Liq.

Ends em 15 dias

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 16 active markets for Estreito De Ormuz that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $105.1M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “O tráfego no Estreito de Ormuz volta ao normal no final de maio?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “A Ilha Kharg não está mais sob o controle iraniano por...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “A Ilha Kharg não está mais sob o controle iraniano por...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 9% chance to 30 de junho. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Estreito De Ormuz predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.