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Jerome Powell previsões e probabilidades

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Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?

Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?

<1%

$315K Vol.

$29.6K Liq.

34

Ends em 2 dias

Jerome Powell in jail before 2027?

Jerome Powell in jail before 2027?

3%

$4.5K Vol.

$8.8K Liq.

1

Ends em 6 meses

Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

38%

December 31

$424K Vol.

$5.3K Liq.

22

Ends em 6 meses

Who will Trump publicly insult by June 30?

Who will Trump publicly insult by June 30?

25%

Jimmy Kimmel

$1M Vol.

$136K Liq.

Ends em 2 dias

Fed Decision in July?

Fed Decision in July?

81%

No change

$22M Vol.

$457K today

$3M Liq.

1

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

78%

0 (0 bps)

$39M Vol.

$133K today

$3M Liq.

90

Ends em 6 meses

Fed Decision in September?

Fed Decision in September?

63%

No change

$878K Vol.

$442K Liq.

Ends em 3 meses

Fed rate cut by...?

Fed rate cut by...?

19%

December Meeting

$3M Vol.

$351K Liq.

21

Ends há 11 dias

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Fed rate hike in 2026?

53%

$3M Vol.

$226K Liq.

Ends em 5 meses

Fed decisions (Jul–Oct)

Fed decisions (Jul–Oct)

46%

Other

$39.1K Vol.

$149K Liq.

Ends em 4 meses

Fed Decision in October?

Fed Decision in October?

59%

No change

$108K Vol.

$170K Liq.

Ends em 4 meses

Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

81%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$103K Vol.

$106K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Fed rate hike by...?

Fed rate hike by...?

38%

October Meeting

$392K Vol.

$102K Liq.

Ends em 4 meses

TIME Person of the Year 2026

TIME Person of the Year 2026

15%

Péter Magyar

$2.1K Vol.

$205K Liq.

3

Ends em 6 meses

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

29%

↑ 4.25%

$2M Vol.

$145K Liq.

11

Ends em 6 meses

Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)

Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)

61%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$26.5K Vol.

$120K Liq.

Ends em 3 meses

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

32%

3.75%

$7M Vol.

$168K Liq.

6

Ends em 5 meses

How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

49%

0 (0 bps)

$7.3K Vol.

$64.5K Liq.

Ends em 6 meses

Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?

Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?

17%

December 31

$19.9K Vol.

$19.8K Liq.

Ends em 6 meses

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

26%

4.8%

$240K Vol.

$31.5K Liq.

Ends em 6 meses

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 23 active markets for Jerome Powell that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $78.9M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 77% chance to 0 (0 bps). These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Jerome Powell predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.