Recent FOMC meetings under Chair Kevin Warsh have featured rising internal divisions, with three members dissenting toward a 25-basis-point hike at the July 2026 gathering amid inflation stuck near 3.5% and a resilient labor market holding unemployment around 4.2%. Persistent price pressures above the 2% target, combined with solid growth and capital investment, have shifted market-implied rate paths higher, with futures pricing modest firming into 2027. This environment creates competitive dynamics for the January 2027 meeting, where closely matched probabilities for one to three dissents reflect uncertainty over whether the committee can maintain consensus or if regional presidents favoring tighter policy will again break ranks, depending on incoming CPI, employment data, and any September policy adjustments.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoQuantos discordaram na reunião de janeiro do Fed?
Quantos discordaram na reunião de janeiro do Fed?
2 24%
3 24%
1 22%
0 19%
NOVO
NOVO
27 jan 2027
0
19%
1
22%
2
24%
3
24%
4+
18%
2 24%
3 24%
1 22%
0 19%
NOVO
NOVO
27 jan 2027
0
$966 Vol.
19%
1
$310 Vol.
22%
2
$61 Vol.
24%
3
$4,106 Vol.
24%
4+
$190 Vol.
18%
The January Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for January 26-27, 2027. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on January 27, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the January Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent FOMC meetings under Chair Kevin Warsh have featured rising internal divisions, with three members dissenting toward a 25-basis-point hike at the July 2026 gathering amid inflation stuck near 3.5% and a resilient labor market holding unemployment around 4.2%. Persistent price pressures above the 2% target, combined with solid growth and capital investment, have shifted market-implied rate paths higher, with futures pricing modest firming into 2027. This environment creates competitive dynamics for the January 2027 meeting, where closely matched probabilities for one to three dissents reflect uncertainty over whether the committee can maintain consensus or if regional presidents favoring tighter policy will again break ranks, depending on incoming CPI, employment data, and any September policy adjustments.
The January Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for January 26-27, 2027. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on January 27, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the January Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the January Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 31, 2026, 5:33 PM ET
Volume
$5,634Data de Término
27 jan 2027Mercado Aberto
Jul 31, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The January Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for January 26-27, 2027. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on January 27, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the January Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent FOMC meetings under Chair Kevin Warsh have featured rising internal divisions, with three members dissenting toward a 25-basis-point hike at the July 2026 gathering amid inflation stuck near 3.5% and a resilient labor market holding unemployment around 4.2%. Persistent price pressures above the 2% target, combined with solid growth and capital investment, have shifted market-implied rate paths higher, with futures pricing modest firming into 2027. This environment creates competitive dynamics for the January 2027 meeting, where closely matched probabilities for one to three dissents reflect uncertainty over whether the committee can maintain consensus or if regional presidents favoring tighter policy will again break ranks, depending on incoming CPI, employment data, and any September policy adjustments.
The January Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for January 26-27, 2027. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on January 27, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the January Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the January Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$5,634Data de Término
27 jan 2027Mercado Aberto
Jul 31, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent FOMC meetings under Chair Kevin Warsh have featured rising internal divisions, with three members dissenting toward a 25-basis-point hike at the July 2026 gathering amid inflation stuck near 3.5% and a resilient labor market holding unemployment around 4.2%. Persistent price pressures above the 2% target, combined with solid growth and capital investment, have shifted market-implied rate paths higher, with futures pricing modest firming into 2027. This environment creates competitive dynamics for the January 2027 meeting, where closely matched probabilities for one to three dissents reflect uncertainty over whether the committee can maintain consensus or if regional presidents favoring tighter policy will again break ranks, depending on incoming CPI, employment data, and any September policy adjustments.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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