Recent euro area data resilience and the ECB’s September 2026 staff projections anchor trader sentiment around moderate Q3 GDP growth. Eurostat’s upward revision of Q2 growth to 0.6% quarter-on-quarter and 1.2% year-on-year, alongside an adjusted domestic-demand measure showing 0.3% quarterly gains, prompted the ECB to lift its 2026 annual GDP forecast to 0.9%. Persistent energy-price pressures from the Middle East conflict have lifted headline HICP inflation to around 3.2–3.3% and prompted a 25-basis-point rate hike, tempering upside risks while supporting the 0.8–1.1% year-on-year bucket at 55.5% implied probability. Temporary drags from summer heatwaves and subdued external demand are offset by resilient consumption, AI-related investment, and fiscal support. The October 30 flash estimate will provide the resolution trigger.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado0.8-1.1% 56%
1.2-1.5% 24.9%
0.4-0.7% 11.8%
0.0-0.3% 4.6%
$62,812 Vol.
$62,812 Vol.
30 out 2026
<0.0%
1%
0.0-0.3%
5%
0.4-0.7%
12%
0.8-1.1%
56%
1.2-1.5%
25%
1.6-1.9%
<1%
2.0%+
<1%
0.8-1.1% 56%
1.2-1.5% 24.9%
0.4-0.7% 11.8%
0.0-0.3% 4.6%
$62,812 Vol.
$62,812 Vol.
30 out 2026
<0.0%
$1,774 Vol.
1%
0.0-0.3%
$1,692 Vol.
5%
0.4-0.7%
$9,978 Vol.
12%
0.8-1.1%
$42,752 Vol.
56%
1.2-1.5%
$3,582 Vol.
25%
1.6-1.9%
$1,652 Vol.
<1%
2.0%+
$1,382 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q3 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent euro area data resilience and the ECB’s September 2026 staff projections anchor trader sentiment around moderate Q3 GDP growth. Eurostat’s upward revision of Q2 growth to 0.6% quarter-on-quarter and 1.2% year-on-year, alongside an adjusted domestic-demand measure showing 0.3% quarterly gains, prompted the ECB to lift its 2026 annual GDP forecast to 0.9%. Persistent energy-price pressures from the Middle East conflict have lifted headline HICP inflation to around 3.2–3.3% and prompted a 25-basis-point rate hike, tempering upside risks while supporting the 0.8–1.1% year-on-year bucket at 55.5% implied probability. Temporary drags from summer heatwaves and subdued external demand are offset by resilient consumption, AI-related investment, and fiscal support. The October 30 flash estimate will provide the resolution trigger.
This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q3 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 31, 2026, 7:28 PM ET
Volume
$62,812Data de Término
30 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 31, 2026, 7:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q3 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent euro area data resilience and the ECB’s September 2026 staff projections anchor trader sentiment around moderate Q3 GDP growth. Eurostat’s upward revision of Q2 growth to 0.6% quarter-on-quarter and 1.2% year-on-year, alongside an adjusted domestic-demand measure showing 0.3% quarterly gains, prompted the ECB to lift its 2026 annual GDP forecast to 0.9%. Persistent energy-price pressures from the Middle East conflict have lifted headline HICP inflation to around 3.2–3.3% and prompted a 25-basis-point rate hike, tempering upside risks while supporting the 0.8–1.1% year-on-year bucket at 55.5% implied probability. Temporary drags from summer heatwaves and subdued external demand are offset by resilient consumption, AI-related investment, and fiscal support. The October 30 flash estimate will provide the resolution trigger.
This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q3 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$62,812Data de Término
30 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 31, 2026, 7:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent euro area data resilience and the ECB’s September 2026 staff projections anchor trader sentiment around moderate Q3 GDP growth. Eurostat’s upward revision of Q2 growth to 0.6% quarter-on-quarter and 1.2% year-on-year, alongside an adjusted domestic-demand measure showing 0.3% quarterly gains, prompted the ECB to lift its 2026 annual GDP forecast to 0.9%. Persistent energy-price pressures from the Middle East conflict have lifted headline HICP inflation to around 3.2–3.3% and prompted a 25-basis-point rate hike, tempering upside risks while supporting the 0.8–1.1% year-on-year bucket at 55.5% implied probability. Temporary drags from summer heatwaves and subdued external demand are offset by resilient consumption, AI-related investment, and fiscal support. The October 30 flash estimate will provide the resolution trigger.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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