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Marine Le Pen previsões e probabilidades

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Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?

Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?

28%

$12.1K Vol.

$2.2K Liq.

23

Ends há cerca de 2 meses

Next French Presidential Election

Next French Presidential Election

23%

Jordan Bardella

$73M Vol.

$682K today

$6M Liq.

510

Ends em 12 meses

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

89%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$53.1K Vol.

$302K Liq.

16

Ends em 11 meses

2027 French Presidential Election: National Rally Candidate

2027 French Presidential Election: National Rally Candidate

69%

Jordan Bardella

$3.7K Vol.

$17.4K Liq.

4

Ends em 11 meses

French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

99%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$9.8K Vol.

$8.3K Liq.

7

Ends em 11 meses

Lecornu out as French PM by...?

Lecornu out as French PM by...?

30%

December 31, 2026

$322K Vol.

$3.0K Liq.

112

Ends em 8 meses

France United Left Primary Winner

France United Left Primary Winner

57%

Canceled

$51.5K Vol.

$64.5K Liq.

12

Ends em 5 meses

Macron out by...?

Macron out by...?

1%

June 30, 2026

$2M Vol.

$42.2K Liq.

94

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem, Qualification: Dalila Spiteri vs Caijsa Hennemann

GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem, Qualification: Dalila Spiteri vs Caijsa Hennemann

82%

Caijsa Hennemann

$5.3K Vol.

$23.4K Liq.

Ends em 7 dias

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

52%

Starmer - UK PM

$356K Vol.

$241K Liq.

3

Ends em 8 meses

GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem, Qualification: Fiona Ferro vs Elina Avanesyan

GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem, Qualification: Fiona Ferro vs Elina Avanesyan

64%

Fiona Ferro

$25.7K Vol.

$66.9K Liq.

Ends em 7 dias

Zelenskyy # posts May 19 - May 26, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts May 19 - May 26, 2026?

40%

80-99

$933 Vol.

$4.3K Liq.

Ends em 9 dias

Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?

Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?

19%

$13.1K Vol.

$3.0K Liq.

3

Ends em 8 meses

Zelenskyy # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?

51%

80-99

$19.6K Vol.

$8.9K Liq.

Ends em 2 dias

Zelenskyy # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?

44%

80-99

$7.3K Vol.

$6.2K Liq.

Ends em 5 dias

GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Hanne Vandewinkel vs Panna Udvardy

GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Hanne Vandewinkel vs Panna Udvardy

53%

Panna Udvardy

$342 Vol.

$16.5K Liq.

Ends em 8 dias

Paris: Madison Keys vs Diane Parry

Paris: Madison Keys vs Diane Parry

79%

Madison Keys

$1.8K Vol.

$20.7K Liq.

Ends em 7 dias

GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Yasmine Kabbaj vs Berfu Cengiz

GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Yasmine Kabbaj vs Berfu Cengiz

68%

Berfu Cengiz

$253 Vol.

$10.7K Liq.

Ends em 8 dias

Internationaux de Strasbourg, Qualification: Yulia Putintseva vs Oleksandra Oliynykova

Internationaux de Strasbourg, Qualification: Yulia Putintseva vs Oleksandra Oliynykova

100%

Oleksandra Oliynykova

$163K Vol.

$163K today

$168K Liq.

Ends em 7 dias

GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Polona Hercog vs Anna Bondar

GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Polona Hercog vs Anna Bondar

76%

Anna Bondar

$2.4K Vol.

$12.8K Liq.

Ends em 8 dias

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 106 active markets for Marine Le Pen that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $75.8M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem, Qualification: Fiona Ferro vs Elina Avanesyan”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Next French Presidential Election,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Next French Presidential Election,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 23% chance to Jordan Bardella. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Marine Le Pen predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.