Edi Rama secured a fourth consecutive term after his Socialist Party won a clear majority in Albania’s May 2025 parliamentary elections, giving him an 82-seat bloc in the 140-seat Kuvendi that has so far blocked any successful no-confidence moves. Persistent opposition-led protests in Tirana, including clashes in February and May 2026 over corruption allegations against senior officials and economic grievances, have kept pressure on the government, yet these demonstrations have not shifted parliamentary arithmetic or prompted institutional challenges to his mandate. Rama continues to advance EU accession reforms and maintains public focus on membership talks, reinforcing perceptions of institutional continuity. Traders assign the Yes side a 63.5 percent implied probability because any high-profile resignation, health development, or sudden coalition fracture before December 31, 2026, could still trigger removal despite the structural advantages of the current majority.