Narendra Modi remains firmly entrenched as India’s prime minister in his third term, which runs through mid-2029 following the BJP-led NDA’s 2024 coalition victory. Recent student-led protests over NEET exam irregularities in July 2026 prompted the resignation of the education minister but produced no broader calls for Modi’s exit, no-confidence motions, or coalition fractures that could force an early departure. The government responded with a task force on exam reforms and legislative proposals, while opposition efforts stayed fragmented and state-level results showed no decisive national shift. Traders’ 92.8% implied probability on “No” reflects these structural realities, including the absence of credible resignation scenarios, health concerns, or institutional pressures capable of removing Modi before the December 2026 cutoff.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoModi será lançado até 31 de dezembro de 2026?
Modi será lançado até 31 de dezembro de 2026?
Sim
7% chance
$230,772 Vol.
$230,772 Vol.
31 dez 2026
Sim
7% chance
$230,772 Vol.
$230,772 Vol.
31 dez 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Narendra Modi remains firmly entrenched as India’s prime minister in his third term, which runs through mid-2029 following the BJP-led NDA’s 2024 coalition victory. Recent student-led protests over NEET exam irregularities in July 2026 prompted the resignation of the education minister but produced no broader calls for Modi’s exit, no-confidence motions, or coalition fractures that could force an early departure. The government responded with a task force on exam reforms and legislative proposals, while opposition efforts stayed fragmented and state-level results showed no decisive national shift. Traders’ 92.8% implied probability on “No” reflects these structural realities, including the absence of credible resignation scenarios, health concerns, or institutional pressures capable of removing Modi before the December 2026 cutoff.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ET
Volume
$230,772Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Narendra Modi remains firmly entrenched as India’s prime minister in his third term, which runs through mid-2029 following the BJP-led NDA’s 2024 coalition victory. Recent student-led protests over NEET exam irregularities in July 2026 prompted the resignation of the education minister but produced no broader calls for Modi’s exit, no-confidence motions, or coalition fractures that could force an early departure. The government responded with a task force on exam reforms and legislative proposals, while opposition efforts stayed fragmented and state-level results showed no decisive national shift. Traders’ 92.8% implied probability on “No” reflects these structural realities, including the absence of credible resignation scenarios, health concerns, or institutional pressures capable of removing Modi before the December 2026 cutoff.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$230,772Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Narendra Modi remains firmly entrenched as India’s prime minister in his third term, which runs through mid-2029 following the BJP-led NDA’s 2024 coalition victory. Recent student-led protests over NEET exam irregularities in July 2026 prompted the resignation of the education minister but produced no broader calls for Modi’s exit, no-confidence motions, or coalition fractures that could force an early departure. The government responded with a task force on exam reforms and legislative proposals, while opposition efforts stayed fragmented and state-level results showed no decisive national shift. Traders’ 92.8% implied probability on “No” reflects these structural realities, including the absence of credible resignation scenarios, health concerns, or institutional pressures capable of removing Modi before the December 2026 cutoff.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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