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icon for Anthony Albanese como primeiro-ministro da Austrália por...?
Política·Austrália

Anthony Albanese como primeiro-ministro da Austrália por...?

icon for Anthony Albanese como primeiro-ministro da Austrália por...?
Política·Austrália

Anthony Albanese como primeiro-ministro da Austrália por...?

$12,400 Vol.

31 dez 2026
Polymarket

$12,400 Vol.

Polymarket

30 de junho

$5,239 Vol.

7%

31 de dezembro

$7,161 Vol.

6%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Anthony Albanese ceases to be the Prime Minister of Australia for any period of time between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Anthony Albanese's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Australian government and Anthony Albanese; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Anthony Albanese ceases to be the Prime Minister of Australia for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Anthony Albanese's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Australian government and Anthony Albanese; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Anthony Albanese secured a landslide re-election in May 2025, delivering Labor its largest House majority in decades and confirming his continued role as prime minister heading into 2026. Traders are monitoring economic pressures including the cost-of-living crisis, housing affordability challenges, and the May 2026 federal budget's tax measures amid global fuel supply strains linked to Middle East developments. With the next federal election due by 2028, leadership stability hinges on Labor's ability to maintain its parliamentary majority and address voter concerns through policy delivery, though no formal challenges within the party or immediate constitutional triggers have emerged to date.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Anthony Albanese ceases to be the Prime Minister of Australia for any period of time between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Anthony Albanese's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Australian government and Anthony Albanese; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$12,400
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jan 19, 2026, 3:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Anthony Albanese ceases to be the Prime Minister of Australia for any period of time between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Anthony Albanese's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Australian government and Anthony Albanese; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Anthony Albanese ceases to be the Prime Minister of Australia for any period of time between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Anthony Albanese's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Australian government and Anthony Albanese; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Anthony Albanese ceases to be the Prime Minister of Australia for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Anthony Albanese's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Australian government and Anthony Albanese; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Anthony Albanese secured a landslide re-election in May 2025, delivering Labor its largest House majority in decades and confirming his continued role as prime minister heading into 2026. Traders are monitoring economic pressures including the cost-of-living crisis, housing affordability challenges, and the May 2026 federal budget's tax measures amid global fuel supply strains linked to Middle East developments. With the next federal election due by 2028, leadership stability hinges on Labor's ability to maintain its parliamentary majority and address voter concerns through policy delivery, though no formal challenges within the party or immediate constitutional triggers have emerged to date.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Anthony Albanese ceases to be the Prime Minister of Australia for any period of time between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Anthony Albanese's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Australian government and Anthony Albanese; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$12,400
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jan 19, 2026, 3:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Anthony Albanese ceases to be the Prime Minister of Australia for any period of time between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Anthony Albanese's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Australian government and Anthony Albanese; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Anthony Albanese como primeiro-ministro da Austrália por...? " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "30 de junho" at 7%, followed by "31 de dezembro" at 6%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 7¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 7% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Anthony Albanese como primeiro-ministro da Austrália por...? " has generated $12.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 19, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Anthony Albanese como primeiro-ministro da Austrália por...? ," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "Anthony Albanese como primeiro-ministro da Austrália por...? " is "30 de junho" at just 7%, with "31 de dezembro" close behind at 6%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "Anthony Albanese como primeiro-ministro da Austrália por...? " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.