Recent polls ahead of Berlin’s September 20 Abgeordnetenhaus election show Linke, CDU, AfD, and Grüne clustered within a few points of one another at roughly 16–22 percent, with SPD further back. This narrow spread among four parties keeps third-place positioning fluid, as modest shifts in turnout, preference flows between left-leaning voters, or AfD mobilization in specific districts could reorder the middle of the field. Recent surveys from Forsa, INSA, and Infratest dimap illustrate the ongoing volatility, with Linke occasionally edging ahead while CDU and AfD trade narrow leads. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects this uncertainty, pricing the most plausible third-place outcomes in a tight band.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoAfD 33%
Grüne 29%
CDU 24%
Linke 11%
$22,608 Vol.
$22,608 Vol.
20 set 2026
AfD
33%
Grüne
29%
CDU
24%
Linke
11%
SPD
9%
FDP
<1%
FW
<1%
BSW
<1%
AfD 33%
Grüne 29%
CDU 24%
Linke 11%
$22,608 Vol.
$22,608 Vol.
20 set 2026
AfD
$5,435 Vol.
33%
Grüne
$3,681 Vol.
29%
CDU
$5,639 Vol.
24%
Linke
$4,578 Vol.
11%
SPD
$1,268 Vol.
9%
FDP
$674 Vol.
<1%
FW
$582 Vol.
<1%
BSW
$750 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Recent polls ahead of Berlin’s September 20 Abgeordnetenhaus election show Linke, CDU, AfD, and Grüne clustered within a few points of one another at roughly 16–22 percent, with SPD further back. This narrow spread among four parties keeps third-place positioning fluid, as modest shifts in turnout, preference flows between left-leaning voters, or AfD mobilization in specific districts could reorder the middle of the field. Recent surveys from Forsa, INSA, and Infratest dimap illustrate the ongoing volatility, with Linke occasionally edging ahead while CDU and AfD trade narrow leads. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects this uncertainty, pricing the most plausible third-place outcomes in a tight band.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Mercado Aberto: Jul 7, 2026, 9:10 PM ET
Volume
$22,608Data de Término
20 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 7, 2026, 9:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Recent polls ahead of Berlin’s September 20 Abgeordnetenhaus election show Linke, CDU, AfD, and Grüne clustered within a few points of one another at roughly 16–22 percent, with SPD further back. This narrow spread among four parties keeps third-place positioning fluid, as modest shifts in turnout, preference flows between left-leaning voters, or AfD mobilization in specific districts could reorder the middle of the field. Recent surveys from Forsa, INSA, and Infratest dimap illustrate the ongoing volatility, with Linke occasionally edging ahead while CDU and AfD trade narrow leads. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects this uncertainty, pricing the most plausible third-place outcomes in a tight band.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Volume
$22,608Data de Término
20 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 7, 2026, 9:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls ahead of Berlin’s September 20 Abgeordnetenhaus election show Linke, CDU, AfD, and Grüne clustered within a few points of one another at roughly 16–22 percent, with SPD further back. This narrow spread among four parties keeps third-place positioning fluid, as modest shifts in turnout, preference flows between left-leaning voters, or AfD mobilization in specific districts could reorder the middle of the field. Recent surveys from Forsa, INSA, and Infratest dimap illustrate the ongoing volatility, with Linke occasionally edging ahead while CDU and AfD trade narrow leads. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects this uncertainty, pricing the most plausible third-place outcomes in a tight band.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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