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EleiçõEs Mundiais previsões e probabilidades

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Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

21%

Gavin Newsom

$1B Vol.

$887K today

$64M Liq.

777

Ends em mais de 2 anos

Brazil Presidential Election

Brazil Presidential Election

57%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

$107M Vol.

$288K today

$10M Liq.

12,808

Ends em 3 meses

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

38%

J.D. Vance

$666M Vol.

$259K today

$47M Liq.

429

Ends em mais de 2 anos

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

19%

JD Vance

$641M Vol.

$244K today

$37M Liq.

974

Ends em mais de 2 anos

Peru Presidential Election Winner

Peru Presidential Election Winner

99%

Keiko Fujimori

$106M Vol.

$115K today

$15M Liq.

14,732

Ends há 3 meses

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

59%

United Russia (ER)

$13M Vol.

$69.8K today

$1M Liq.

262

Ends em 3 meses

Which party will win the House in 2026?

Which party will win the House in 2026?

83%

Democratic Party

$8M Vol.

$51.2K today

$845K Liq.

1

Ends em 4 meses

Berlin State Election Winner

Berlin State Election Winner

50%

CDU

$3M Vol.

$52.7K today

$362K Liq.

6

Ends em 3 meses

Next Prime Minister of Sweden

Next Prime Minister of Sweden

74%

Magdalena Andersson

$3M Vol.

$477K Liq.

16

Ends em 3 meses

Quebec General Election Winner

Quebec General Election Winner

63%

PQ

$622K Vol.

$220K Liq.

48

Ends em 3 meses

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

57%

Republican Party

$3M Vol.

$361K Liq.

76

Ends em 4 meses

How many seats will United Russia win in the next Russian legislative election?

How many seats will United Russia win in the next Russian legislative election?

44%

325–339

$66.9K Vol.

$180K Liq.

Ends em 3 meses

Russia Parliamentary Election Winner

Russia Parliamentary Election Winner

96%

United Russia (ER)

$2M Vol.

$293K Liq.

15

Ends em 3 meses

Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election Winner

Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election Winner

96%

AfD

$772K Vol.

$206K Liq.

1

Ends em 2 meses

Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner

Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner

3%

Amal Movement (Amal)

$617K Vol.

$392K Liq.

15

Ends há 29 dias

Bulgaria Presidential Election

Bulgaria Presidential Election

44%

Iliana Iotova

$176K Vol.

$289K Liq.

20

Ends em 5 meses

Brazil Chamber of Deputies Election Winner

Brazil Chamber of Deputies Election Winner

78%

PL

$35.2K Vol.

$405K Liq.

1

Ends em 3 meses

Next Senate Majority Leader?

Next Senate Majority Leader?

53%

John Thune

$91.1K Vol.

$238K Liq.

2

Ends em 6 meses

Latvian Parliamentary Election Winner

Latvian Parliamentary Election Winner

27%

LPV

$97.5K Vol.

$205K Liq.

6

Ends em 3 meses

2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner

2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner

84%

Kuomintang (KMT)

$126K Vol.

$75.4K Liq.

36

Ends em 5 meses

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like EleiçõEs Mundiais.

Polymarket currently hosts 42 active markets for EleiçõEs Mundiais that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $2.8B in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 21% chance to Gavin Newsom. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on EleiçõEs Mundiais predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.