The district's consistent Republican tilt and long-serving incumbent John Carter's renomination drive the overwhelming trader consensus for a GOP victory. Carter secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with roughly 60 percent of the vote, avoiding a runoff amid limited intra-party opposition. The solidly Republican-leaning seat, with its established voting patterns in central Texas, has shown no meaningful shift from recent cycles or demographic changes that would elevate Democratic prospects. Challengers including Democrat Justin Early face structural barriers in fundraising and voter base, while the general election timeline through November leaves little room for late developments to alter the partisan math reflected in current pricing.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição da casa TX-31
Vencedor da eleição da casa TX-31
$38,275 Vol.
$38,275 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
90%
Partido Democrata
9%
$38,275 Vol.
$38,275 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$19,321 Vol.
90%
Partido Democrata
$18,954 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's consistent Republican tilt and long-serving incumbent John Carter's renomination drive the overwhelming trader consensus for a GOP victory. Carter secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with roughly 60 percent of the vote, avoiding a runoff amid limited intra-party opposition. The solidly Republican-leaning seat, with its established voting patterns in central Texas, has shown no meaningful shift from recent cycles or demographic changes that would elevate Democratic prospects. Challengers including Democrat Justin Early face structural barriers in fundraising and voter base, while the general election timeline through November leaves little room for late developments to alter the partisan math reflected in current pricing.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$38,275Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's consistent Republican tilt and long-serving incumbent John Carter's renomination drive the overwhelming trader consensus for a GOP victory. Carter secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with roughly 60 percent of the vote, avoiding a runoff amid limited intra-party opposition. The solidly Republican-leaning seat, with its established voting patterns in central Texas, has shown no meaningful shift from recent cycles or demographic changes that would elevate Democratic prospects. Challengers including Democrat Justin Early face structural barriers in fundraising and voter base, while the general election timeline through November leaves little room for late developments to alter the partisan math reflected in current pricing.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$38,275Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The district's consistent Republican tilt and long-serving incumbent John Carter's renomination drive the overwhelming trader consensus for a GOP victory. Carter secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with roughly 60 percent of the vote, avoiding a runoff amid limited intra-party opposition. The solidly Republican-leaning seat, with its established voting patterns in central Texas, has shown no meaningful shift from recent cycles or demographic changes that would elevate Democratic prospects. Challengers including Democrat Justin Early face structural barriers in fundraising and voter base, while the general election timeline through November leaves little room for late developments to alter the partisan math reflected in current pricing.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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