California's 6th congressional district features a strong Democratic voter registration advantage and partisan lean that heavily favors the Democratic nominee in the November general election. Following redistricting and the top-two primary, former Republican Representative Kevin Kiley, now running as an independent, advanced alongside Democrat Richard Pan, a former state senator and physician. This setup, combined with the district's Sacramento-area suburban composition and historical voting patterns, has produced trader consensus around a wide Democratic margin. Factors supporting the current pricing include consistent Democratic performance in similar California seats and limited recent polling shifts. Potential challenges to the frontrunner include an unusually strong independent performance in conservative-leaning pockets such as Roseville or Rocklin, turnout surges among specific voting blocs, or late national political developments that alter local dynamics ahead of election day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição da casa CA-06
Vencedor da eleição da casa CA-06
$42,196 Vol.
$42,196 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
94%
Partido Republicano
4%
$42,196 Vol.
$42,196 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
$18,233 Vol.
94%
Partido Republicano
$23,963 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 6th congressional district features a strong Democratic voter registration advantage and partisan lean that heavily favors the Democratic nominee in the November general election. Following redistricting and the top-two primary, former Republican Representative Kevin Kiley, now running as an independent, advanced alongside Democrat Richard Pan, a former state senator and physician. This setup, combined with the district's Sacramento-area suburban composition and historical voting patterns, has produced trader consensus around a wide Democratic margin. Factors supporting the current pricing include consistent Democratic performance in similar California seats and limited recent polling shifts. Potential challenges to the frontrunner include an unusually strong independent performance in conservative-leaning pockets such as Roseville or Rocklin, turnout surges among specific voting blocs, or late national political developments that alter local dynamics ahead of election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Volume
$42,196Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 6th congressional district features a strong Democratic voter registration advantage and partisan lean that heavily favors the Democratic nominee in the November general election. Following redistricting and the top-two primary, former Republican Representative Kevin Kiley, now running as an independent, advanced alongside Democrat Richard Pan, a former state senator and physician. This setup, combined with the district's Sacramento-area suburban composition and historical voting patterns, has produced trader consensus around a wide Democratic margin. Factors supporting the current pricing include consistent Democratic performance in similar California seats and limited recent polling shifts. Potential challenges to the frontrunner include an unusually strong independent performance in conservative-leaning pockets such as Roseville or Rocklin, turnout surges among specific voting blocs, or late national political developments that alter local dynamics ahead of election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$42,196Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 6th congressional district features a strong Democratic voter registration advantage and partisan lean that heavily favors the Democratic nominee in the November general election. Following redistricting and the top-two primary, former Republican Representative Kevin Kiley, now running as an independent, advanced alongside Democrat Richard Pan, a former state senator and physician. This setup, combined with the district's Sacramento-area suburban composition and historical voting patterns, has produced trader consensus around a wide Democratic margin. Factors supporting the current pricing include consistent Democratic performance in similar California seats and limited recent polling shifts. Potential challenges to the frontrunner include an unusually strong independent performance in conservative-leaning pockets such as Roseville or Rocklin, turnout surges among specific voting blocs, or late national political developments that alter local dynamics ahead of election day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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