Arizona's 5th congressional district carries an R+10 Cook Partisan Voting Index, creating a durable structural advantage for Republicans in this open-seat contest. Former incumbent Andy Biggs retired to pursue the governorship, and the July 21, 2026, Republican primary produced nominee Mark Lamb, a former Pinal County sheriff, while Elizabeth Lee secured the Democratic nomination. Limited polling since the primaries has shown little movement, aligning with historical base rates for similar GOP-leaning districts in midterm cycles. Traders price the Republican outcome at 88 percent, reflecting the district's voting patterns and the absence of major post-primary developments that would alter the competitive balance before the November 3 general election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoAZ-05 Vencedor da eleição da Câmara
AZ-05 Vencedor da eleição da Câmara
$24,698 Vol.
$24,698 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
88%
Partido Democrata
13%
$24,698 Vol.
$24,698 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$17,002 Vol.
88%
Partido Democrata
$7,696 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Arizona's 5th congressional district carries an R+10 Cook Partisan Voting Index, creating a durable structural advantage for Republicans in this open-seat contest. Former incumbent Andy Biggs retired to pursue the governorship, and the July 21, 2026, Republican primary produced nominee Mark Lamb, a former Pinal County sheriff, while Elizabeth Lee secured the Democratic nomination. Limited polling since the primaries has shown little movement, aligning with historical base rates for similar GOP-leaning districts in midterm cycles. Traders price the Republican outcome at 88 percent, reflecting the district's voting patterns and the absence of major post-primary developments that would alter the competitive balance before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Volume
$24,698Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Arizona's 5th congressional district carries an R+10 Cook Partisan Voting Index, creating a durable structural advantage for Republicans in this open-seat contest. Former incumbent Andy Biggs retired to pursue the governorship, and the July 21, 2026, Republican primary produced nominee Mark Lamb, a former Pinal County sheriff, while Elizabeth Lee secured the Democratic nomination. Limited polling since the primaries has shown little movement, aligning with historical base rates for similar GOP-leaning districts in midterm cycles. Traders price the Republican outcome at 88 percent, reflecting the district's voting patterns and the absence of major post-primary developments that would alter the competitive balance before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$24,698Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Arizona's 5th congressional district carries an R+10 Cook Partisan Voting Index, creating a durable structural advantage for Republicans in this open-seat contest. Former incumbent Andy Biggs retired to pursue the governorship, and the July 21, 2026, Republican primary produced nominee Mark Lamb, a former Pinal County sheriff, while Elizabeth Lee secured the Democratic nomination. Limited polling since the primaries has shown little movement, aligning with historical base rates for similar GOP-leaning districts in midterm cycles. Traders price the Republican outcome at 88 percent, reflecting the district's voting patterns and the absence of major post-primary developments that would alter the competitive balance before the November 3 general election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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