Republican nominee Steve Toth's convincing March primary victory over incumbent Dan Crenshaw solidified the GOP's hold on Texas's 2nd Congressional District, a solidly Republican seat with a partisan voter index of around R+25, driving trader consensus to price Republicans at 87.5% to win the November 3 general election. Democrat Shaun Finnie, a businessman who advanced unopposed in his primary, faces steep structural barriers in this Houston-area battleground historically dominated by high Republican turnout and conservative voters. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days, leaving odds anchored to the district's baseline electoral math and lack of competitive polling; a Democratic upset would require an extraordinary national wave, scandal, or turnout surge among key voting blocs.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição para a Casa TX-02
Vencedor da eleição para a Casa TX-02
NOVO
NOVO
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
88%
Partido Democrata
12%
NOVO
NOVO
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$4,272 Vol.
88%
Partido Democrata
$4,417 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican nominee Steve Toth's convincing March primary victory over incumbent Dan Crenshaw solidified the GOP's hold on Texas's 2nd Congressional District, a solidly Republican seat with a partisan voter index of around R+25, driving trader consensus to price Republicans at 87.5% to win the November 3 general election. Democrat Shaun Finnie, a businessman who advanced unopposed in his primary, faces steep structural barriers in this Houston-area battleground historically dominated by high Republican turnout and conservative voters. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days, leaving odds anchored to the district's baseline electoral math and lack of competitive polling; a Democratic upset would require an extraordinary national wave, scandal, or turnout surge among key voting blocs.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$8,689Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican nominee Steve Toth's convincing March primary victory over incumbent Dan Crenshaw solidified the GOP's hold on Texas's 2nd Congressional District, a solidly Republican seat with a partisan voter index of around R+25, driving trader consensus to price Republicans at 87.5% to win the November 3 general election. Democrat Shaun Finnie, a businessman who advanced unopposed in his primary, faces steep structural barriers in this Houston-area battleground historically dominated by high Republican turnout and conservative voters. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days, leaving odds anchored to the district's baseline electoral math and lack of competitive polling; a Democratic upset would require an extraordinary national wave, scandal, or turnout surge among key voting blocs.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$8,689Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican nominee Steve Toth's convincing March primary victory over incumbent Dan Crenshaw solidified the GOP's hold on Texas's 2nd Congressional District, a solidly Republican seat with a partisan voter index of around R+25, driving trader consensus to price Republicans at 87.5% to win the November 3 general election. Democrat Shaun Finnie, a businessman who advanced unopposed in his primary, faces steep structural barriers in this Houston-area battleground historically dominated by high Republican turnout and conservative voters. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days, leaving odds anchored to the district's baseline electoral math and lack of competitive polling; a Democratic upset would require an extraordinary national wave, scandal, or turnout surge among key voting blocs.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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