Utah's 2nd congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+15 Partisan Voter Index and Donald Trump's 17.5-point margin there in 2024. Republican nominee Blake Moore secured the party's nomination in the June 2026 primary with 56.7% against Karianne Lisonbee, positioning an experienced candidate against Democrat Peter Crosby, who advanced without opposition after the Democratic primary was canceled. Forecasters including Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat solid or safe Republican. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Republicans aligns with these structural factors. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue affecting the nominee, or an unanticipated national Democratic surge could narrow the margin, though the district's consistent partisan lean and limited Democratic infrastructure make such shifts improbable.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoUT-02 House Election Winner
UT-02 House Election Winner
$12,898 Vol.
$12,898 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republican Party
95%
Democratic Party
5%
$12,898 Vol.
$12,898 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republican Party
$2,441 Vol.
95%
Democratic Party
$10,458 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Utah's 2nd congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+15 Partisan Voter Index and Donald Trump's 17.5-point margin there in 2024. Republican nominee Blake Moore secured the party's nomination in the June 2026 primary with 56.7% against Karianne Lisonbee, positioning an experienced candidate against Democrat Peter Crosby, who advanced without opposition after the Democratic primary was canceled. Forecasters including Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat solid or safe Republican. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Republicans aligns with these structural factors. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue affecting the nominee, or an unanticipated national Democratic surge could narrow the margin, though the district's consistent partisan lean and limited Democratic infrastructure make such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
Volume
$12,898Data de Término
4 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Utah's 2nd congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+15 Partisan Voter Index and Donald Trump's 17.5-point margin there in 2024. Republican nominee Blake Moore secured the party's nomination in the June 2026 primary with 56.7% against Karianne Lisonbee, positioning an experienced candidate against Democrat Peter Crosby, who advanced without opposition after the Democratic primary was canceled. Forecasters including Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat solid or safe Republican. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Republicans aligns with these structural factors. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue affecting the nominee, or an unanticipated national Democratic surge could narrow the margin, though the district's consistent partisan lean and limited Democratic infrastructure make such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$12,898Data de Término
4 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Utah's 2nd congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+15 Partisan Voter Index and Donald Trump's 17.5-point margin there in 2024. Republican nominee Blake Moore secured the party's nomination in the June 2026 primary with 56.7% against Karianne Lisonbee, positioning an experienced candidate against Democrat Peter Crosby, who advanced without opposition after the Democratic primary was canceled. Forecasters including Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat solid or safe Republican. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Republicans aligns with these structural factors. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue affecting the nominee, or an unanticipated national Democratic surge could narrow the margin, though the district's consistent partisan lean and limited Democratic infrastructure make such shifts improbable.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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