**Incumbent Rep. Kat Cammack's unopposed Republican primary bid in Florida's 3rd Congressional District anchors trader consensus at 88% for a GOP hold**, bolstered by the district's Solid Republican rating from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball despite mid-decade redistricting. Cammack's fundraising dominance—$842,000 cash-on-hand through March—dwarfs the fragmented five-candidate Democratic primary field (Rock Aboujaoude Jr., Troy Albers, Seth Harp, George Hubac, Tom Wells), where rivals hold under $4,000 combined. No polling exists, but her 2022 23-point general election margin reflects the battleground-free lean. Absent notable developments in the past 30 days post-filing deadline, odds reflect entrenched incumbency advantages ahead of August 18 primaries and November 3 general election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoFL-03 House Election Winner
FL-03 House Election Winner
$11,417 Vol.
$11,417 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republican Party
88%
Democratic Party
11%
$11,417 Vol.
$11,417 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republican Party
$7,096 Vol.
88%
Democratic Party
$4,321 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Incumbent Rep. Kat Cammack's unopposed Republican primary bid in Florida's 3rd Congressional District anchors trader consensus at 88% for a GOP hold**, bolstered by the district's Solid Republican rating from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball despite mid-decade redistricting. Cammack's fundraising dominance—$842,000 cash-on-hand through March—dwarfs the fragmented five-candidate Democratic primary field (Rock Aboujaoude Jr., Troy Albers, Seth Harp, George Hubac, Tom Wells), where rivals hold under $4,000 combined. No polling exists, but her 2022 23-point general election margin reflects the battleground-free lean. Absent notable developments in the past 30 days post-filing deadline, odds reflect entrenched incumbency advantages ahead of August 18 primaries and November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Volume
$11,417Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Incumbent Rep. Kat Cammack's unopposed Republican primary bid in Florida's 3rd Congressional District anchors trader consensus at 88% for a GOP hold**, bolstered by the district's Solid Republican rating from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball despite mid-decade redistricting. Cammack's fundraising dominance—$842,000 cash-on-hand through March—dwarfs the fragmented five-candidate Democratic primary field (Rock Aboujaoude Jr., Troy Albers, Seth Harp, George Hubac, Tom Wells), where rivals hold under $4,000 combined. No polling exists, but her 2022 23-point general election margin reflects the battleground-free lean. Absent notable developments in the past 30 days post-filing deadline, odds reflect entrenched incumbency advantages ahead of August 18 primaries and November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$11,417Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Incumbent Rep. Kat Cammack's unopposed Republican primary bid in Florida's 3rd Congressional District anchors trader consensus at 88% for a GOP hold**, bolstered by the district's Solid Republican rating from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball despite mid-decade redistricting. Cammack's fundraising dominance—$842,000 cash-on-hand through March—dwarfs the fragmented five-candidate Democratic primary field (Rock Aboujaoude Jr., Troy Albers, Seth Harp, George Hubac, Tom Wells), where rivals hold under $4,000 combined. No polling exists, but her 2022 23-point general election margin reflects the battleground-free lean. Absent notable developments in the past 30 days post-filing deadline, odds reflect entrenched incumbency advantages ahead of August 18 primaries and November 3 general election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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