Florida's 2nd congressional district maintains a solid Republican lean, reflected in the 88% market probability for the Republican nominee to prevail in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Neal Dunn's January 2026 retirement announcement opened the race, drawing a crowded GOP primary field ahead of the August 18 vote, with recent internal polls showing Austin Rogers and Keith Gross as frontrunners. Forecasters rate the seat Solid R based on the district's partisan voting index and Dunn's 61.6% 2024 margin. Democratic primary contenders face limited fundraising and structural disadvantages in this northern Florida district, limiting their general election prospects despite the open-seat dynamics.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoFL-02 Vencedor da eleição da casa
FL-02 Vencedor da eleição da casa
$12,030 Vol.
$12,030 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
88%
Partido Democrata
13%
$12,030 Vol.
$12,030 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$7,937 Vol.
88%
Partido Democrata
$4,093 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 2nd congressional district maintains a solid Republican lean, reflected in the 88% market probability for the Republican nominee to prevail in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Neal Dunn's January 2026 retirement announcement opened the race, drawing a crowded GOP primary field ahead of the August 18 vote, with recent internal polls showing Austin Rogers and Keith Gross as frontrunners. Forecasters rate the seat Solid R based on the district's partisan voting index and Dunn's 61.6% 2024 margin. Democratic primary contenders face limited fundraising and structural disadvantages in this northern Florida district, limiting their general election prospects despite the open-seat dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Volume
$12,030Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 2nd congressional district maintains a solid Republican lean, reflected in the 88% market probability for the Republican nominee to prevail in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Neal Dunn's January 2026 retirement announcement opened the race, drawing a crowded GOP primary field ahead of the August 18 vote, with recent internal polls showing Austin Rogers and Keith Gross as frontrunners. Forecasters rate the seat Solid R based on the district's partisan voting index and Dunn's 61.6% 2024 margin. Democratic primary contenders face limited fundraising and structural disadvantages in this northern Florida district, limiting their general election prospects despite the open-seat dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$12,030Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 2nd congressional district maintains a solid Republican lean, reflected in the 88% market probability for the Republican nominee to prevail in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Neal Dunn's January 2026 retirement announcement opened the race, drawing a crowded GOP primary field ahead of the August 18 vote, with recent internal polls showing Austin Rogers and Keith Gross as frontrunners. Forecasters rate the seat Solid R based on the district's partisan voting index and Dunn's 61.6% 2024 margin. Democratic primary contenders face limited fundraising and structural disadvantages in this northern Florida district, limiting their general election prospects despite the open-seat dynamics.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions