Florida's 1st congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat heading into the 2026 midterms, with incumbent Jimmy Patronis facing Democrat Gay Valimont in the November general election. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Safe or Solid Republican based on the district's consistent partisan lean, voting history in presidential and statewide contests, and limited Democratic infrastructure. Patronis assumed office via special election in 2025 following Matt Gaetz's resignation and has maintained strong local support. The Republican primary on August 18 will determine the nominee but is unlikely to alter general-election dynamics. Trader consensus at 95.5% Republican reflects these structural advantages, though a national Democratic wave, late scandal, or unusually high turnout among opposition voters could narrow margins in a low-probability scenario.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoFL-01 Vencedor da Eleição da Casa
FL-01 Vencedor da Eleição da Casa
$116,972 Vol.
$116,972 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
96%
Partido Democrata
5%
$116,972 Vol.
$116,972 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$88,781 Vol.
96%
Partido Democrata
$28,192 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 1st congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat heading into the 2026 midterms, with incumbent Jimmy Patronis facing Democrat Gay Valimont in the November general election. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Safe or Solid Republican based on the district's consistent partisan lean, voting history in presidential and statewide contests, and limited Democratic infrastructure. Patronis assumed office via special election in 2025 following Matt Gaetz's resignation and has maintained strong local support. The Republican primary on August 18 will determine the nominee but is unlikely to alter general-election dynamics. Trader consensus at 95.5% Republican reflects these structural advantages, though a national Democratic wave, late scandal, or unusually high turnout among opposition voters could narrow margins in a low-probability scenario.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Volume
$116,972Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 1st congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat heading into the 2026 midterms, with incumbent Jimmy Patronis facing Democrat Gay Valimont in the November general election. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Safe or Solid Republican based on the district's consistent partisan lean, voting history in presidential and statewide contests, and limited Democratic infrastructure. Patronis assumed office via special election in 2025 following Matt Gaetz's resignation and has maintained strong local support. The Republican primary on August 18 will determine the nominee but is unlikely to alter general-election dynamics. Trader consensus at 95.5% Republican reflects these structural advantages, though a national Democratic wave, late scandal, or unusually high turnout among opposition voters could narrow margins in a low-probability scenario.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$116,972Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 1st congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat heading into the 2026 midterms, with incumbent Jimmy Patronis facing Democrat Gay Valimont in the November general election. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Safe or Solid Republican based on the district's consistent partisan lean, voting history in presidential and statewide contests, and limited Democratic infrastructure. Patronis assumed office via special election in 2025 following Matt Gaetz's resignation and has maintained strong local support. The Republican primary on August 18 will determine the nominee but is unlikely to alter general-election dynamics. Trader consensus at 95.5% Republican reflects these structural advantages, though a national Democratic wave, late scandal, or unusually high turnout among opposition voters could narrow margins in a low-probability scenario.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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