Michigan's 7th congressional district remains a competitive swing seat centered on the Lansing area, where Republican incumbent Tom Barrett seeks a second term after flipping the open district in 2024. The August 4 Democratic primary produced nominee William Lawrence, a progressive activist who defeated rivals with national security backgrounds, setting up a clear partisan contrast ahead of the November 3 general election. Ratings from outlets including the Cook Political Report classify the race as a toss-up, consistent with the current trader consensus giving Democrats a modest edge. Midterm dynamics, district-level turnout patterns, and fundraising in this battleground continue to shape positioning as both campaigns focus on local economic and policy issues.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição da casa MI-07
Vencedor da eleição da casa MI-07
$17,409 Vol.
$17,409 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
61%
Partido Republicano
38%
$17,409 Vol.
$17,409 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
$11,856 Vol.
61%
Partido Republicano
$5,553 Vol.
38%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 7th congressional district remains a competitive swing seat centered on the Lansing area, where Republican incumbent Tom Barrett seeks a second term after flipping the open district in 2024. The August 4 Democratic primary produced nominee William Lawrence, a progressive activist who defeated rivals with national security backgrounds, setting up a clear partisan contrast ahead of the November 3 general election. Ratings from outlets including the Cook Political Report classify the race as a toss-up, consistent with the current trader consensus giving Democrats a modest edge. Midterm dynamics, district-level turnout patterns, and fundraising in this battleground continue to shape positioning as both campaigns focus on local economic and policy issues.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ET
Volume
$17,409Data de Término
4 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 7th congressional district remains a competitive swing seat centered on the Lansing area, where Republican incumbent Tom Barrett seeks a second term after flipping the open district in 2024. The August 4 Democratic primary produced nominee William Lawrence, a progressive activist who defeated rivals with national security backgrounds, setting up a clear partisan contrast ahead of the November 3 general election. Ratings from outlets including the Cook Political Report classify the race as a toss-up, consistent with the current trader consensus giving Democrats a modest edge. Midterm dynamics, district-level turnout patterns, and fundraising in this battleground continue to shape positioning as both campaigns focus on local economic and policy issues.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$17,409Data de Término
4 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Michigan's 7th congressional district remains a competitive swing seat centered on the Lansing area, where Republican incumbent Tom Barrett seeks a second term after flipping the open district in 2024. The August 4 Democratic primary produced nominee William Lawrence, a progressive activist who defeated rivals with national security backgrounds, setting up a clear partisan contrast ahead of the November 3 general election. Ratings from outlets including the Cook Political Report classify the race as a toss-up, consistent with the current trader consensus giving Democrats a modest edge. Midterm dynamics, district-level turnout patterns, and fundraising in this battleground continue to shape positioning as both campaigns focus on local economic and policy issues.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions