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Política·Primárias

Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador de Connecticut

icon for Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador de Connecticut
Política·Primárias

Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador de Connecticut

Ryan Fazio 97.0%

Harry Arora 1.8%

Betsy McCaughey 1.3%

Timothy Wilcox 1.2%

Polymarket

$16,607 Vol.

Ryan Fazio 97.0%

Harry Arora 1.8%

Betsy McCaughey 1.3%

Timothy Wilcox 1.2%

Polymarket

$16,607 Vol.

Ryan Fazio

$6,272 Vol.

97%

Harry Arora

$437 Vol.

2%

Betsy McCaughey

$677 Vol.

1%

Timothy Wilcox

$5,664 Vol.

1%

Erin Stewart

$3,557 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Connecticut, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Connecticut Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Connecticut Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Ryan Fazio secured the Republican endorsement for Connecticut governor at the state convention on May 16, 2026, after former New Britain Mayor Erin Stewart suspended her campaign and backed him. This development consolidated support among delegates and positioned Fazio, a state senator from Greenwich, as the presumptive nominee ahead of the August 11 primary. Remaining challengers including Betsy McCaughey and Timothy Wilcox received minimal delegate backing and hold limited statewide name recognition or fundraising. The convention outcome aligns with Fazio’s early qualification for public financing and his focus on energy costs and state spending. While a primary ballot is still possible, the endorsement provides ballot position advantages and party resources that historically determine the nominee in such low-turnout contests, leaving narrow paths for any late shifts from sustained opposition or unforeseen developments.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Connecticut, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Connecticut Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Connecticut Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$16,607
Data de Término
11 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 5, 2025, 9:57 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Connecticut, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Connecticut Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Connecticut Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Connecticut, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Connecticut Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Connecticut Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Ryan Fazio secured the Republican endorsement for Connecticut governor at the state convention on May 16, 2026, after former New Britain Mayor Erin Stewart suspended her campaign and backed him. This development consolidated support among delegates and positioned Fazio, a state senator from Greenwich, as the presumptive nominee ahead of the August 11 primary. Remaining challengers including Betsy McCaughey and Timothy Wilcox received minimal delegate backing and hold limited statewide name recognition or fundraising. The convention outcome aligns with Fazio’s early qualification for public financing and his focus on energy costs and state spending. While a primary ballot is still possible, the endorsement provides ballot position advantages and party resources that historically determine the nominee in such low-turnout contests, leaving narrow paths for any late shifts from sustained opposition or unforeseen developments.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Connecticut, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Connecticut Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Connecticut Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$16,607
Data de Término
11 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 5, 2025, 9:57 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Connecticut, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Connecticut Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Connecticut Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador de Connecticut" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Ryan Fazio" at 97%, followed by "Harry Arora" at 2%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 97¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador de Connecticut" has generated $16.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 5, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador de Connecticut," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador de Connecticut" is "Ryan Fazio" at 97%, meaning the market assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Harry Arora" at 2%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador de Connecticut" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.