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Federalizar previsões e probabilidades

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Trump vai nacionalizar as eleições?

Trump vai nacionalizar as eleições?

13%

$16.8K Vol.

$12.2K Liq.

5

Ends em 6 meses

Trump pays Jan 6 rioter?

Trump pays Jan 6 rioter?

5%

$3.1K Vol.

$12.8K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

48%

Dilution of Iran's Uranium

$147K Vol.

$72.4K today

$232K Liq.

4

Ends em 6 meses

Will Argentina dollarize by...?

Will Argentina dollarize by...?

<1%

June 30, 2026

$30.6K Vol.

$13.1K Liq.

10

Ends em 6 meses

Jerome Powell federally charged by...?

Jerome Powell federally charged by...?

<1%

June 30, 2026

$316K Vol.

$29.8K Liq.

34

Ends em 6 meses

Fed abolished before 2027?

Fed abolished before 2027?

2%

$5.4K Vol.

$12.5K Liq.

Ends em 6 meses

Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

90%

$2.8K Vol.

$14.4K Liq.

2

Ends em 4 meses

What price will LAB hit in 2026?

What price will LAB hit in 2026?

93%

↓ $12

$10.7K Vol.

$9.6K Liq.

Ends em 6 meses

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

91%

$3.0K Vol.

$10.9K Liq.

2

Ends em 4 meses

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

20%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$10.4K Liq.

135

Ends em 6 meses

Will Republicans win any Senate or Governor's Election in a Biden-Trump state?

Will Republicans win any Senate or Governor's Election in a Biden-Trump state?

60%

$2.7K Vol.

$5.7K Liq.

Ends em 4 meses

Will US annex any territory in 2026?

Will US annex any territory in 2026?

10%

$153K Vol.

$17.8K Liq.

7

Ends em 6 meses

Any US state legislature votes on secession by June 30, 2026?

Any US state legislature votes on secession by June 30, 2026?

<1%

$42.8K Vol.

$19.9K Liq.

2

Ends em cerca de 16 horas

Will Trump try to acquire part of Alberta?

Will Trump try to acquire part of Alberta?

12%

$3.4K Vol.

$16.2K Liq.

2

Ends em 6 meses

Tim Walz charged by...?

Tim Walz charged by...?

6%

Before 2027

$507K Vol.

$14.6K Liq.

48

Ends há 3 meses

What will Natural Gas (NG) hit in July 2026?

What will Natural Gas (NG) hit in July 2026?

100%

↓ $3.20

$0 Vol.

$132 Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Fed decisions (Jul–Oct)

Fed decisions (Jul–Oct)

46%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$96.2K Vol.

$56.8K today

$224K Liq.

Ends em 4 meses

What will Trump post this week? (June 29 - July 5)

What will Trump post this week? (June 29 - July 5)

89%

Iran

$64 Vol.

$1.5K Liq.

Ends em 7 dias

Anthropic + OpenAI vs Meta - higher valuation on June 30?

Anthropic + OpenAI vs Meta - higher valuation on June 30?

100%

Anthropic + OpenAI

$15.1K Vol.

$19.7K Liq.

Ends em 2 dias

Insurrection Act invoked by...?

Insurrection Act invoked by...?

17%

December 31

$1M Vol.

$82.5K Liq.

72

Ends em 6 meses

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Federalizar.

Polymarket currently hosts 100 active markets for Federalizar that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Trump vai nacionalizar as eleições?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $5.1M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Any US state legislature votes on secession by June 30, 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 20% chance to December 31, 2026. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Federalizar predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.