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icon for Obama cobrado pelo governo federal antes de 2027?

Obama cobrado pelo governo federal antes de 2027?

icon for Obama cobrado pelo governo federal antes de 2027?

Obama cobrado pelo governo federal antes de 2027?

dez 31

dez 31

Sim

9% chance
Polymarket
NOVO

Sim

9% chance
Polymarket
NOVO
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Barack Obama by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 89.1% for former President Barack Obama facing federal charges before 2027, reflecting the absence of any indictment or formal DOJ action against him personally despite ongoing grand jury probes into Obama-era officials like John Brennan and James Clapper over alleged misconduct in the 2016 Russia investigation. Recent developments, including April 2026 reports of intensified DOJ scrutiny following declassified documents and Attorney General Pam Bondi's 2025 directives, have targeted subordinates rather than Obama, with statutes of limitations potentially barring older claims and high evidentiary thresholds for prosecuting a former president. Historical precedents, such as Special Counsel John Durham's inquiry yielding limited high-level convictions, reinforce trader skepticism absent late-breaking evidence or sealed indictments.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Barack Obama by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$8,455
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 5, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Barack Obama by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Barack Obama by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 89.1% for former President Barack Obama facing federal charges before 2027, reflecting the absence of any indictment or formal DOJ action against him personally despite ongoing grand jury probes into Obama-era officials like John Brennan and James Clapper over alleged misconduct in the 2016 Russia investigation. Recent developments, including April 2026 reports of intensified DOJ scrutiny following declassified documents and Attorney General Pam Bondi's 2025 directives, have targeted subordinates rather than Obama, with statutes of limitations potentially barring older claims and high evidentiary thresholds for prosecuting a former president. Historical precedents, such as Special Counsel John Durham's inquiry yielding limited high-level convictions, reinforce trader skepticism absent late-breaking evidence or sealed indictments.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Barack Obama by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$8,455
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 5, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Barack Obama by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Obama cobrado pelo governo federal antes de 2027?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Obama acusado federalmente antes de 2027?" at 9%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 9¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 9% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Obama cobrado pelo governo federal antes de 2027?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Nov 5, 2025. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Obama cobrado pelo governo federal antes de 2027?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "Obama cobrado pelo governo federal antes de 2027?" is "Obama acusado federalmente antes de 2027?" at just 9%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "Obama cobrado pelo governo federal antes de 2027?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.