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icon for Vance anuncia que não concorrerá à presidência em 2028 este ano?

Vance anuncia que não concorrerá à presidência em 2028 este ano?

icon for Vance anuncia que não concorrerá à presidência em 2028 este ano?

Vance anuncia que não concorrerá à presidência em 2028 este ano?

Sim

10% chance
Polymarket
NOVO

Sim

10% chance
Polymarket
NOVO
This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance announces that he will not run for President of the United States in the 2028 United States Presidential election between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must definitively indicate that Vance will not run for President in 2028, or will never run for President. Statements that Vance has not made a decision on whether to run will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance or his official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice. Vice President JD Vance has repeatedly downplayed 2028 speculation while emphasizing his focus on current duties, including statements in May 2026 that he is “not a potential future candidate” and prefers his role as vice president. President Trump has continued to highlight Vance alongside Secretary of State Marco Rubio as leading Republican succession figures, including public comments in early June 2026 suggesting a possible ticket. Vance has also made appearances in early primary states such as Iowa without issuing any formal withdrawal from consideration. These developments, combined with active polling and donor speculation around the Republican field, sustain trader consensus that Vance is unlikely to announce he will not seek the nomination before the end of 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance announces that he will not run for President of the United States in the 2028 United States Presidential election between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A qualifying announcement must definitively indicate that Vance will not run for President in 2028, or will never run for President. Statements that Vance has not made a decision on whether to run will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance or his official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$9,970
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
May 27, 2026, 12:43 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance announces that he will not run for President of the United States in the 2028 United States Presidential election between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must definitively indicate that Vance will not run for President in 2028, or will never run for President. Statements that Vance has not made a decision on whether to run will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance or his official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance announces that he will not run for President of the United States in the 2028 United States Presidential election between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must definitively indicate that Vance will not run for President in 2028, or will never run for President. Statements that Vance has not made a decision on whether to run will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance or his official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice. Vice President JD Vance has repeatedly downplayed 2028 speculation while emphasizing his focus on current duties, including statements in May 2026 that he is “not a potential future candidate” and prefers his role as vice president. President Trump has continued to highlight Vance alongside Secretary of State Marco Rubio as leading Republican succession figures, including public comments in early June 2026 suggesting a possible ticket. Vance has also made appearances in early primary states such as Iowa without issuing any formal withdrawal from consideration. These developments, combined with active polling and donor speculation around the Republican field, sustain trader consensus that Vance is unlikely to announce he will not seek the nomination before the end of 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance announces that he will not run for President of the United States in the 2028 United States Presidential election between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A qualifying announcement must definitively indicate that Vance will not run for President in 2028, or will never run for President. Statements that Vance has not made a decision on whether to run will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance or his official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$9,970
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
May 27, 2026, 12:43 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance announces that he will not run for President of the United States in the 2028 United States Presidential election between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must definitively indicate that Vance will not run for President in 2028, or will never run for President. Statements that Vance has not made a decision on whether to run will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance or his official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vance anuncia que não concorrerá à presidência em 2028 este ano?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Vance anuncia que não concorrerá à Presidência em 2028 neste ano?" at 10%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 10¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 10% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Vance anuncia que não concorrerá à presidência em 2028 este ano?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on May 27, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Vance anuncia que não concorrerá à presidência em 2028 este ano?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vance anuncia que não concorrerá à presidência em 2028 este ano?" is "Vance anuncia que não concorrerá à Presidência em 2028 neste ano?" at 10%, meaning the market assigns a 10% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vance anuncia que não concorrerá à presidência em 2028 este ano?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.