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icon for O prefeito de Nova York # publica de 22 a 29 de setembro de 2026?

O prefeito de Nova York # publica de 22 a 29 de setembro de 2026?

icon for O prefeito de Nova York # publica de 22 a 29 de setembro de 2026?

O prefeito de Nova York # publica de 22 a 29 de setembro de 2026?

20-39 81%

40-59 13%

140-159 1.0%

160-179 1.0%

Polymarket
NOVO

20-39 81%

40-59 13%

140-159 1.0%

160-179 1.0%

Polymarket
NOVO

<20

$275 Vol.

1%

20-39

$1,312 Vol.

81%

40-59

$480 Vol.

13%

60-79

$350 Vol.

1%

80-99

$286 Vol.

1%

100-119

$246 Vol.

1%

120-139

$226 Vol.

1%

140-159

$109 Vol.

1%

160-179

$109 Vol.

1%

180-199

$109 Vol.

1%

200+

$109 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between September 22, 12:00 PM ET and September 29, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Zohran Mamdani, New York City’s mayor since January 2026, maintains a consistent pace of official communications on X that aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 20-39 posts for the September 22-29 window.** His account regularly shares policy updates, event recaps, public service announcements, and responses to city incidents, often producing multiple posts daily including videos and quoted material. The upcoming 81st UN General Assembly session, for which Mamdani has already delivered welcoming remarks and held security briefings with the NYPD commissioner, is expected to generate additional diplomatic and ceremonial content during the period without fundamentally altering his baseline activity level. Recent mid-September examples—such as milestone infrastructure updates, climate adaptation projects, and routine operational notices—illustrate the steady volume traders appear to be pricing in. No procedural changes, platform shifts, or external constraints on mayoral communications have emerged to suggest a material deviation from this range.

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between September 22, 12:00 PM ET and September 29, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between September 22, 12:00 PM ET and September 29, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$3,610
Data de Término
29 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Sep 19, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

Fonte de resolução

https://x.com/NYCMayor
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between September 22, 12:00 PM ET and September 29, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Zohran Mamdani, New York City’s mayor since January 2026, maintains a consistent pace of official communications on X that aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 20-39 posts for the September 22-29 window.** His account regularly shares policy updates, event recaps, public service announcements, and responses to city incidents, often producing multiple posts daily including videos and quoted material. The upcoming 81st UN General Assembly session, for which Mamdani has already delivered welcoming remarks and held security briefings with the NYPD commissioner, is expected to generate additional diplomatic and ceremonial content during the period without fundamentally altering his baseline activity level. Recent mid-September examples—such as milestone infrastructure updates, climate adaptation projects, and routine operational notices—illustrate the steady volume traders appear to be pricing in. No procedural changes, platform shifts, or external constraints on mayoral communications have emerged to suggest a material deviation from this range.

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between September 22, 12:00 PM ET and September 29, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between September 22, 12:00 PM ET and September 29, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$3,610
Data de Término
29 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Sep 19, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

Fonte de resolução

https://x.com/NYCMayor

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"O prefeito de Nova York # publica de 22 a 29 de setembro de 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "20-39" at 81%, followed by "40-59" at 13%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 81¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 81% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"O prefeito de Nova York # publica de 22 a 29 de setembro de 2026?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 19, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "O prefeito de Nova York # publica de 22 a 29 de setembro de 2026?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "O prefeito de Nova York # publica de 22 a 29 de setembro de 2026?" is "20-39" at 81%, meaning the market assigns a 81% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "40-59" at 13%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "O prefeito de Nova York # publica de 22 a 29 de setembro de 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.