Trader consensus clusters tightly around a 38% approval rating for President Trump on September 25, with the two leading ranges capturing over 60% combined probability. This reflects steady recent polling averages amid ongoing legislative activity, economic data releases, and administration policy actions. Short-term fluctuations often stem from congressional votes, public statements by the president or key officials, and media coverage of domestic or foreign developments. With resolution only days away, any late-breaking announcements or events within the measurement window could shift final positioning. Historical patterns indicate approval ratings typically move modestly over brief periods absent major catalysts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado38,0–38,4 39%
38,5–38,9 30%
39,0–39,4 20%
37,5–37,9 14%
<37,5
14%
37,5–37,9
14%
38,0–38,4
31%
38,5–38,9
30%
39,0–39,4
20%
39,5+
8%
38,0–38,4 39%
38,5–38,9 30%
39,0–39,4 20%
37,5–37,9 14%
<37,5
14%
37,5–37,9
14%
38,0–38,4
31%
38,5–38,9
30%
39,0–39,4
20%
39,5+
8%
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 20, 2026, 10:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus clusters tightly around a 38% approval rating for President Trump on September 25, with the two leading ranges capturing over 60% combined probability. This reflects steady recent polling averages amid ongoing legislative activity, economic data releases, and administration policy actions. Short-term fluctuations often stem from congressional votes, public statements by the president or key officials, and media coverage of domestic or foreign developments. With resolution only days away, any late-breaking announcements or events within the measurement window could shift final positioning. Historical patterns indicate approval ratings typically move modestly over brief periods absent major catalysts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado



Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions