Trader consensus on the Republican VP nominee for the 2028 ticket shows a fragmented field led by Marco Rubio at 26%, closely trailed by Kristi Noem, Vivek Ramaswamy, and Mike Pence, reflecting uncertainty over the presidential frontrunner amid low trading volume. Rubio's recent surge stems from his high-profile role as Secretary of State, loyalty to President Trump, and rising favorability in April-May straw polls and prediction markets like CPAC (where he placed second to VP J.D. Vance) and Kalshi, positioning him as a bridge between establishment and MAGA factions. Noem benefits from her steady South Dakota governorship and Trump alignment, Ramaswamy from youth and entrepreneurial appeal, and Pence from prior VP experience despite past tensions. The tight race persists due to no dominant 2028 primary path, with 2026 midterms, Trump endorsements, or administration successes in foreign policy and border security potentially creating separation.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoRepublican VP Nominee 2028
Republican VP Nominee 2028
Vivek Ramaswamy 31.7%
Marco Rubio 26%
Kristi Noem 21.7%
Mike Pence 19.7%
Donald Trump
6%
J.D. Vance
12%
Marco Rubio
26%
Tulsi Gabbard
4%
Glenn Youngkin
3%
Donald Trump Jr.
4%
Ron DeSantis
4%
Nikki Haley
2%
Vivek Ramaswamy
20%
Sarah Huckabee Sanders
2%
Greg Abbott
3%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
4%
Brian Kemp
3%
Byron Donalds
1%
Elise Stefanik
4%
Josh Hawley
4%
Ted Cruz
1%
Elon Musk
3%
Matt Gaetz
3%
Katie Britt
4%
John Thune
3%
Kristi Noem
23%
Mike Pence
20%
Tucker Carlson
4%
Ivanka Trump
13%
Tom Brady
3%
Rand Paul
1%
Steve Bannon
18%
Erika Kirk
8%
Kim Kardashian
2%
Marjorie Taylor Greene
5%
Thomas Massie
10%
Eric Trump
3%
Joe Kent
3%
Pete Hegseth
7%
Vivek Ramaswamy 31.7%
Marco Rubio 26%
Kristi Noem 21.7%
Mike Pence 19.7%
Donald Trump
6%
J.D. Vance
12%
Marco Rubio
26%
Tulsi Gabbard
4%
Glenn Youngkin
3%
Donald Trump Jr.
4%
Ron DeSantis
4%
Nikki Haley
2%
Vivek Ramaswamy
20%
Sarah Huckabee Sanders
2%
Greg Abbott
3%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
4%
Brian Kemp
3%
Byron Donalds
1%
Elise Stefanik
4%
Josh Hawley
4%
Ted Cruz
1%
Elon Musk
3%
Matt Gaetz
3%
Katie Britt
4%
John Thune
3%
Kristi Noem
23%
Mike Pence
20%
Tucker Carlson
4%
Ivanka Trump
13%
Tom Brady
3%
Rand Paul
1%
Steve Bannon
18%
Erika Kirk
8%
Kim Kardashian
2%
Marjorie Taylor Greene
5%
Thomas Massie
10%
Eric Trump
3%
Joe Kent
3%
Pete Hegseth
7%
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 14, 2026, 1:58 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on the Republican VP nominee for the 2028 ticket shows a fragmented field led by Marco Rubio at 26%, closely trailed by Kristi Noem, Vivek Ramaswamy, and Mike Pence, reflecting uncertainty over the presidential frontrunner amid low trading volume. Rubio's recent surge stems from his high-profile role as Secretary of State, loyalty to President Trump, and rising favorability in April-May straw polls and prediction markets like CPAC (where he placed second to VP J.D. Vance) and Kalshi, positioning him as a bridge between establishment and MAGA factions. Noem benefits from her steady South Dakota governorship and Trump alignment, Ramaswamy from youth and entrepreneurial appeal, and Pence from prior VP experience despite past tensions. The tight race persists due to no dominant 2028 primary path, with 2026 midterms, Trump endorsements, or administration successes in foreign policy and border security potentially creating separation.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions