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icon for A candidata presidencial republicana de 2028 será uma mulher?
Eleições·MTG

A candidata presidencial republicana de 2028 será uma mulher?

icon for A candidata presidencial republicana de 2028 será uma mulher?
Eleições·MTG

A candidata presidencial republicana de 2028 será uma mulher?

Sim

2% chance
Polymarket
NOVO

Sim

2% chance
Polymarket
NOVO
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the individual that wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market. JD Vance and Marco Rubio lead early 2028 Republican nomination polling with combined support often exceeding 60 percent, while other male contenders such as Ron DeSantis and Donald Trump Jr. also register measurable backing. No woman appears in the top tier of surveys or prediction markets for the nomination. Nikki Haley has ruled out another run, and figures including Sarah Huckabee Sanders and Katie Britt register minimal support. The Republican primary field remains shaped by the post-2024 dynamics favoring continuity with the Trump-aligned wing, where male candidates have consolidated early advantages in name recognition and donor interest. Late polling shifts, health developments, or an unexpected surge by a female governor or senator could still alter the field before delegates convene.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the individual that wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.

Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the individual that wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$3,831
Data de Término
8 nov 2028
Mercado Aberto
Feb 17, 2026, 5:42 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the individual that wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market. JD Vance and Marco Rubio lead early 2028 Republican nomination polling with combined support often exceeding 60 percent, while other male contenders such as Ron DeSantis and Donald Trump Jr. also register measurable backing. No woman appears in the top tier of surveys or prediction markets for the nomination. Nikki Haley has ruled out another run, and figures including Sarah Huckabee Sanders and Katie Britt register minimal support. The Republican primary field remains shaped by the post-2024 dynamics favoring continuity with the Trump-aligned wing, where male candidates have consolidated early advantages in name recognition and donor interest. Late polling shifts, health developments, or an unexpected surge by a female governor or senator could still alter the field before delegates convene.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the individual that wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.

Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the individual that wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$3,831
Data de Término
8 nov 2028
Mercado Aberto
Feb 17, 2026, 5:42 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"A candidata presidencial republicana de 2028 será uma mulher?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "A indicada presidencial republicana de 2028 será uma mulher?" at 2%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 2¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 2% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"A candidata presidencial republicana de 2028 será uma mulher?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Feb 17, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "A candidata presidencial republicana de 2028 será uma mulher?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "A candidata presidencial republicana de 2028 será uma mulher?" is "A indicada presidencial republicana de 2028 será uma mulher?" at just 2%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "A candidata presidencial republicana de 2028 será uma mulher?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.