Recent polling averages place the revived Joint List—comprising Hadash, Ta'al, and Balad—consistently in the 6–8 seat range for the October 27 Knesset election, aligning with the market’s leading 6-7 outcome. The three parties finalized their alliance in August 2026 after months of talks, aiming to consolidate Arab voter turnout and maximize mandates ahead of the September 9 candidate list deadline. Ra’am’s decision to run separately, driven by differences over coalition participation, has kept the reduced list’s projections stable. Broader factors include persistent Arab sector challenges such as crime and post-October 2023 tensions, with traders viewing the current 6-7 band as the most probable result absent major shifts in turnout or last-minute list changes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado6-7 41%
8-9 25%
<6 15%
10-11 15%
NOVO
NOVO
30 nov 2026
<6
15%
6-7
42%
8-9
25%
10-11
15%
12+
4%
6-7 41%
8-9 25%
<6 15%
10-11 15%
NOVO
NOVO
30 nov 2026
<6
$19 Vol.
15%
6-7
$10 Vol.
42%
8-9
$0 Vol.
25%
10-11
$0 Vol.
15%
12+
$254 Vol.
4%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Joint List in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Joint List in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling averages place the revived Joint List—comprising Hadash, Ta'al, and Balad—consistently in the 6–8 seat range for the October 27 Knesset election, aligning with the market’s leading 6-7 outcome. The three parties finalized their alliance in August 2026 after months of talks, aiming to consolidate Arab voter turnout and maximize mandates ahead of the September 9 candidate list deadline. Ra’am’s decision to run separately, driven by differences over coalition participation, has kept the reduced list’s projections stable. Broader factors include persistent Arab sector challenges such as crime and post-October 2023 tensions, with traders viewing the current 6-7 band as the most probable result absent major shifts in turnout or last-minute list changes.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Joint List in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Joint List in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Joint List in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Joint List in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Mercado Aberto: Sep 4, 2026, 6:14 PM ET
Volume
$283Data de Término
27 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 4, 2026, 6:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Joint List in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Joint List in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling averages place the revived Joint List—comprising Hadash, Ta'al, and Balad—consistently in the 6–8 seat range for the October 27 Knesset election, aligning with the market’s leading 6-7 outcome. The three parties finalized their alliance in August 2026 after months of talks, aiming to consolidate Arab voter turnout and maximize mandates ahead of the September 9 candidate list deadline. Ra’am’s decision to run separately, driven by differences over coalition participation, has kept the reduced list’s projections stable. Broader factors include persistent Arab sector challenges such as crime and post-October 2023 tensions, with traders viewing the current 6-7 band as the most probable result absent major shifts in turnout or last-minute list changes.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Joint List in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Joint List in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Joint List in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Joint List in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Volume
$283Data de Término
27 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 4, 2026, 6:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages place the revived Joint List—comprising Hadash, Ta'al, and Balad—consistently in the 6–8 seat range for the October 27 Knesset election, aligning with the market’s leading 6-7 outcome. The three parties finalized their alliance in August 2026 after months of talks, aiming to consolidate Arab voter turnout and maximize mandates ahead of the September 9 candidate list deadline. Ra’am’s decision to run separately, driven by differences over coalition participation, has kept the reduced list’s projections stable. Broader factors include persistent Arab sector challenges such as crime and post-October 2023 tensions, with traders viewing the current 6-7 band as the most probable result absent major shifts in turnout or last-minute list changes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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