Recent Israeli polls place United Torah Judaism (UTJ) at 7–9 Knesset seats ahead of the October 27, 2026 election, reflecting steady Haredi voter mobilization around core issues such as yeshiva draft exemptions and religious education funding. Multiple surveys from August and early September show UTJ holding 7 or 8 mandates, with minor variance tied to turnout models and the final party-list submissions due in early September. The tight market ranges stem from this narrow polling band and the party's consistent coalition alignment with Likud, which limits independent swings but exposes UTJ to bloc-wide shifts. Any late movement in ultra-Orthodox participation rates, adjustments to draft legislation, or changes in Shas-UTJ coordination could push results toward the lower or higher brackets.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoEleição de Israel: UTJ # de assentos?
Eleição de Israel: UTJ # de assentos?
9-10 43%
<7 41%
7-8 41%
11+ 41%
NOVO
NOVO
30 nov 2026
<7
41%
7-8
41%
9-10
43%
11+
41%
9-10 43%
<7 41%
7-8 41%
11+ 41%
NOVO
NOVO
30 nov 2026
<7
$0 Vol.
41%
7-8
$0 Vol.
41%
9-10
$0 Vol.
43%
11+
$0 Vol.
41%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Torah Judaism contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Torah Judaism merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent Israeli polls place United Torah Judaism (UTJ) at 7–9 Knesset seats ahead of the October 27, 2026 election, reflecting steady Haredi voter mobilization around core issues such as yeshiva draft exemptions and religious education funding. Multiple surveys from August and early September show UTJ holding 7 or 8 mandates, with minor variance tied to turnout models and the final party-list submissions due in early September. The tight market ranges stem from this narrow polling band and the party's consistent coalition alignment with Likud, which limits independent swings but exposes UTJ to bloc-wide shifts. Any late movement in ultra-Orthodox participation rates, adjustments to draft legislation, or changes in Shas-UTJ coordination could push results toward the lower or higher brackets.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Torah Judaism contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Torah Judaism merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Torah Judaism contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Torah Judaism merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Mercado Aberto: Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
Volume
$0Data de Término
27 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Torah Judaism contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Torah Judaism merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent Israeli polls place United Torah Judaism (UTJ) at 7–9 Knesset seats ahead of the October 27, 2026 election, reflecting steady Haredi voter mobilization around core issues such as yeshiva draft exemptions and religious education funding. Multiple surveys from August and early September show UTJ holding 7 or 8 mandates, with minor variance tied to turnout models and the final party-list submissions due in early September. The tight market ranges stem from this narrow polling band and the party's consistent coalition alignment with Likud, which limits independent swings but exposes UTJ to bloc-wide shifts. Any late movement in ultra-Orthodox participation rates, adjustments to draft legislation, or changes in Shas-UTJ coordination could push results toward the lower or higher brackets.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Torah Judaism contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Torah Judaism merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Torah Judaism contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Torah Judaism merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Volume
$0Data de Término
27 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Israeli polls place United Torah Judaism (UTJ) at 7–9 Knesset seats ahead of the October 27, 2026 election, reflecting steady Haredi voter mobilization around core issues such as yeshiva draft exemptions and religious education funding. Multiple surveys from August and early September show UTJ holding 7 or 8 mandates, with minor variance tied to turnout models and the final party-list submissions due in early September. The tight market ranges stem from this narrow polling band and the party's consistent coalition alignment with Likud, which limits independent swings but exposes UTJ to bloc-wide shifts. Any late movement in ultra-Orthodox participation rates, adjustments to draft legislation, or changes in Shas-UTJ coordination could push results toward the lower or higher brackets.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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