Recent polls from mid-September 2026 consistently place Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party at 23–25 Knesset seats, aligning with the market’s leading 24–25 outcome at 35 percent. This positioning reflects Yashar’s steady rise as the largest opposition party, overtaking Likud in multiple surveys amid voter focus on post-October 7 accountability and security performance. Surplus-vote agreements with the Democrats, alongside similar pairings among other opposition lists, help consolidate the anti-Netanyahu bloc near or above 54 seats in recent averages. Small right-leaning parties clearing or nearing the 3.25 percent threshold further fragments the pro-Netanyahu side, currently projected around 50 seats. With the October 27 election approaching, undecided voters and final threshold outcomes remain the main variables that could shift final seat totals within the 22–27 range.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado24-25 41%
22-23 32%
26-27 16%
20-21 11%
NOVO
NOVO
30 nov 2026
<20
5%
20-21
11%
22-23
23%
24-25
45%
26-27
16%
28-29
7%
30+
6%
24-25 41%
22-23 32%
26-27 16%
20-21 11%
NOVO
NOVO
30 nov 2026
<20
$186 Vol.
5%
20-21
$417 Vol.
11%
22-23
$747 Vol.
23%
24-25
$779 Vol.
45%
26-27
$615 Vol.
16%
28-29
$282 Vol.
7%
30+
$5,681 Vol.
6%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yashar in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yashar in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polls from mid-September 2026 consistently place Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party at 23–25 Knesset seats, aligning with the market’s leading 24–25 outcome at 35 percent. This positioning reflects Yashar’s steady rise as the largest opposition party, overtaking Likud in multiple surveys amid voter focus on post-October 7 accountability and security performance. Surplus-vote agreements with the Democrats, alongside similar pairings among other opposition lists, help consolidate the anti-Netanyahu bloc near or above 54 seats in recent averages. Small right-leaning parties clearing or nearing the 3.25 percent threshold further fragments the pro-Netanyahu side, currently projected around 50 seats. With the October 27 election approaching, undecided voters and final threshold outcomes remain the main variables that could shift final seat totals within the 22–27 range.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yashar in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yashar in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yashar in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yashar in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Mercado Aberto: Sep 4, 2026, 6:17 PM ET
Volume
$8,708Data de Término
30 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 4, 2026, 6:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yashar in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yashar in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polls from mid-September 2026 consistently place Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party at 23–25 Knesset seats, aligning with the market’s leading 24–25 outcome at 35 percent. This positioning reflects Yashar’s steady rise as the largest opposition party, overtaking Likud in multiple surveys amid voter focus on post-October 7 accountability and security performance. Surplus-vote agreements with the Democrats, alongside similar pairings among other opposition lists, help consolidate the anti-Netanyahu bloc near or above 54 seats in recent averages. Small right-leaning parties clearing or nearing the 3.25 percent threshold further fragments the pro-Netanyahu side, currently projected around 50 seats. With the October 27 election approaching, undecided voters and final threshold outcomes remain the main variables that could shift final seat totals within the 22–27 range.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yashar in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yashar in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yashar in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yashar in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Volume
$8,708Data de Término
30 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 4, 2026, 6:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls from mid-September 2026 consistently place Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party at 23–25 Knesset seats, aligning with the market’s leading 24–25 outcome at 35 percent. This positioning reflects Yashar’s steady rise as the largest opposition party, overtaking Likud in multiple surveys amid voter focus on post-October 7 accountability and security performance. Surplus-vote agreements with the Democrats, alongside similar pairings among other opposition lists, help consolidate the anti-Netanyahu bloc near or above 54 seats in recent averages. Small right-leaning parties clearing or nearing the 3.25 percent threshold further fragments the pro-Netanyahu side, currently projected around 50 seats. With the October 27 election approaching, undecided voters and final threshold outcomes remain the main variables that could shift final seat totals within the 22–27 range.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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