Recent polls place Otzma Yehudit at 6–9 Knesset seats ahead of the October 27 election, with the party’s final slate—featuring former Likud MK Tally Gotliv in the second spot—submitted in early September. Trader odds remain split between the 4.5–5.5% and 6.5–7.5% vote-share bins because the overall contest between the Netanyahu-aligned and Eisenkot-led blocs stays deadlocked near 50–60 seats each, leaving limited room for smaller right-wing parties to gain or lose ground through turnout or vote consolidation. Allegations that Likud is seeking to weaken Otzma Yehudit to facilitate post-election cooperation with Yashar add uncertainty, while surplus-vote agreements and undecided voters near the 3.25% threshold could still shift final results within the resolution window.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado4,5-5,5% 33%
7,5%+ 25%
<4,5% 24%
5,5-6,5% 0
NOVO
NOVO
30 nov 2026
<4,5%
24%
4,5-5,5%
33%
5,5-6,5%
43%
6,5-7,5%
46%
7,5%+
25%
4,5-5,5% 33%
7,5%+ 25%
<4,5% 24%
5,5-6,5% 0
NOVO
NOVO
30 nov 2026
<4,5%
$13 Vol.
24%
4,5-5,5%
$13 Vol.
33%
5,5-6,5%
$78 Vol.
43%
6,5-7,5%
$114 Vol.
46%
7,5%+
$231 Vol.
25%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Otzma Yehudit party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Otzma Yehudit's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Otzma Yehudit passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent polls place Otzma Yehudit at 6–9 Knesset seats ahead of the October 27 election, with the party’s final slate—featuring former Likud MK Tally Gotliv in the second spot—submitted in early September. Trader odds remain split between the 4.5–5.5% and 6.5–7.5% vote-share bins because the overall contest between the Netanyahu-aligned and Eisenkot-led blocs stays deadlocked near 50–60 seats each, leaving limited room for smaller right-wing parties to gain or lose ground through turnout or vote consolidation. Allegations that Likud is seeking to weaken Otzma Yehudit to facilitate post-election cooperation with Yashar add uncertainty, while surplus-vote agreements and undecided voters near the 3.25% threshold could still shift final results within the resolution window.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Otzma Yehudit party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Otzma Yehudit's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Otzma Yehudit passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Otzma Yehudit party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Otzma Yehudit's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Otzma Yehudit passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Mercado Aberto: Sep 8, 2026, 4:18 PM ET
Volume
$449Data de Término
27 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 8, 2026, 4:18 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Otzma Yehudit party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Otzma Yehudit's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Otzma Yehudit passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent polls place Otzma Yehudit at 6–9 Knesset seats ahead of the October 27 election, with the party’s final slate—featuring former Likud MK Tally Gotliv in the second spot—submitted in early September. Trader odds remain split between the 4.5–5.5% and 6.5–7.5% vote-share bins because the overall contest between the Netanyahu-aligned and Eisenkot-led blocs stays deadlocked near 50–60 seats each, leaving limited room for smaller right-wing parties to gain or lose ground through turnout or vote consolidation. Allegations that Likud is seeking to weaken Otzma Yehudit to facilitate post-election cooperation with Yashar add uncertainty, while surplus-vote agreements and undecided voters near the 3.25% threshold could still shift final results within the resolution window.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Otzma Yehudit party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Otzma Yehudit's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Otzma Yehudit passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Otzma Yehudit party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Otzma Yehudit's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Otzma Yehudit passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Volume
$449Data de Término
27 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 8, 2026, 4:18 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls place Otzma Yehudit at 6–9 Knesset seats ahead of the October 27 election, with the party’s final slate—featuring former Likud MK Tally Gotliv in the second spot—submitted in early September. Trader odds remain split between the 4.5–5.5% and 6.5–7.5% vote-share bins because the overall contest between the Netanyahu-aligned and Eisenkot-led blocs stays deadlocked near 50–60 seats each, leaving limited room for smaller right-wing parties to gain or lose ground through turnout or vote consolidation. Allegations that Likud is seeking to weaken Otzma Yehudit to facilitate post-election cooperation with Yashar add uncertainty, while surplus-vote agreements and undecided voters near the 3.25% threshold could still shift final results within the resolution window.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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