The Democrats, the merged Labour-Meretz list led by Yair Golan, remain a small but established player in Israel’s fragmented opposition ahead of the October 27 Knesset vote. Recent September polling averages place the party at 8–10 seats, with individual surveys ranging from 8 to 11 amid competition for left-leaning voters from larger centrist lists such as Yashar and Together. A surplus-vote agreement with Yashar provides some protection against falling below the 3.25% threshold, yet persistent weakness in the broader left and preference shifts within the anti-Netanyahu bloc keep outcomes clustered in the single digits. Trader pricing reflects this narrow band of recent results, with the highest probabilities assigned to fewer than 10 seats and limited upside unless turnout or late alliances shift materially before election day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado<8 29%
8-9 26%
10-11 22%
12-13 9%
NOVO
NOVO
30 nov 2026
<8
29%
8-9
26%
10-11
17%
12-13
9%
14+
5%
<8 29%
8-9 26%
10-11 22%
12-13 9%
NOVO
NOVO
30 nov 2026
<8
$1,124 Vol.
29%
8-9
$253 Vol.
26%
10-11
$242 Vol.
17%
12-13
$187 Vol.
9%
14+
$155 Vol.
5%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Democrats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Democrats contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Democrats merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Democrats in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).The Democrats, the merged Labour-Meretz list led by Yair Golan, remain a small but established player in Israel’s fragmented opposition ahead of the October 27 Knesset vote. Recent September polling averages place the party at 8–10 seats, with individual surveys ranging from 8 to 11 amid competition for left-leaning voters from larger centrist lists such as Yashar and Together. A surplus-vote agreement with Yashar provides some protection against falling below the 3.25% threshold, yet persistent weakness in the broader left and preference shifts within the anti-Netanyahu bloc keep outcomes clustered in the single digits. Trader pricing reflects this narrow band of recent results, with the highest probabilities assigned to fewer than 10 seats and limited upside unless turnout or late alliances shift materially before election day.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Democrats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Democrats contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Democrats merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Democrats in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Democrats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Democrats contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Democrats merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Democrats in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Mercado Aberto: Sep 4, 2026, 6:13 PM ET
Volume
$1,961Data de Término
27 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 4, 2026, 6:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Democrats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Democrats contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Democrats merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Democrats in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).The Democrats, the merged Labour-Meretz list led by Yair Golan, remain a small but established player in Israel’s fragmented opposition ahead of the October 27 Knesset vote. Recent September polling averages place the party at 8–10 seats, with individual surveys ranging from 8 to 11 amid competition for left-leaning voters from larger centrist lists such as Yashar and Together. A surplus-vote agreement with Yashar provides some protection against falling below the 3.25% threshold, yet persistent weakness in the broader left and preference shifts within the anti-Netanyahu bloc keep outcomes clustered in the single digits. Trader pricing reflects this narrow band of recent results, with the highest probabilities assigned to fewer than 10 seats and limited upside unless turnout or late alliances shift materially before election day.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Democrats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Democrats contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Democrats merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Democrats in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Democrats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Democrats contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Democrats merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Democrats in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Volume
$1,961Data de Término
27 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 4, 2026, 6:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Democrats, the merged Labour-Meretz list led by Yair Golan, remain a small but established player in Israel’s fragmented opposition ahead of the October 27 Knesset vote. Recent September polling averages place the party at 8–10 seats, with individual surveys ranging from 8 to 11 amid competition for left-leaning voters from larger centrist lists such as Yashar and Together. A surplus-vote agreement with Yashar provides some protection against falling below the 3.25% threshold, yet persistent weakness in the broader left and preference shifts within the anti-Netanyahu bloc keep outcomes clustered in the single digits. Trader pricing reflects this narrow band of recent results, with the highest probabilities assigned to fewer than 10 seats and limited upside unless turnout or late alliances shift materially before election day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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