United Russia secured a commanding lead in the September 18–20 Leningrad Oblast Legislative Assembly election, with preliminary results showing roughly 63% in party-list voting and all 25 single-mandate seats after processing over 93% of protocols. This outcome reflects the party's established regional organizational strength, alignment with federal authorities, and consistent performance in prior cycles, where it has maintained majorities through mixed-member proportional rules requiring a 5% threshold for list seats. Other parties including LDPR, CPRF, and New People cleared the threshold at lower shares, while several others fell short. Trader consensus prices United Russia near certainty as the winner, consistent with the vote trajectory; late shifts remain possible only if final certification reveals widespread irregularities or administrative reversals, though such developments have not materialized in reported counts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoUnited Russia 99.7%
New People <1%
LDPR <1%
Rodina <1%

United Russia
100%

New People
<1%

LDPR
<1%

Rodina
<1%

Yabloko
<1%

CPRF
<1%

A Just Russia
<1%

Communists of Russia
<1%

The Greens
<1%
United Russia 99.7%
New People <1%
LDPR <1%
Rodina <1%

United Russia
100%

New People
<1%

LDPR
<1%

Rodina
<1%

Yabloko
<1%

CPRF
<1%

A Just Russia
<1%

Communists of Russia
<1%

The Greens
<1%
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Leningrad Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Leningrad Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Leningrad Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Leningrad Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 28, 2026, 12:14 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Leningrad Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Leningrad Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Leningrad Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Leningrad Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...United Russia secured a commanding lead in the September 18–20 Leningrad Oblast Legislative Assembly election, with preliminary results showing roughly 63% in party-list voting and all 25 single-mandate seats after processing over 93% of protocols. This outcome reflects the party's established regional organizational strength, alignment with federal authorities, and consistent performance in prior cycles, where it has maintained majorities through mixed-member proportional rules requiring a 5% threshold for list seats. Other parties including LDPR, CPRF, and New People cleared the threshold at lower shares, while several others fell short. Trader consensus prices United Russia near certainty as the winner, consistent with the vote trajectory; late shifts remain possible only if final certification reveals widespread irregularities or administrative reversals, though such developments have not materialized in reported counts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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