United Russia holds a commanding lead in the Tver Oblast Legislative Assembly election market, priced above 92 percent, reflecting its status as the incumbent ruling party with registered candidates across all 20 single-mandate districts and the proportional list. The September 18–20 vote coincides with national Duma and gubernatorial contests, where United Russia benefits from established organizational reach, prior control of 29 of 40 seats, and a mixed electoral system that rewards broad registration and local administration. Other parties, including CPRF, LDPR, A Just Russia, and smaller groups like Rodina or New People, remain fragmented with far lower implied probabilities due to narrower support bases and fewer competitive slots. Traders view major upsets as unlikely absent unforeseen disruptions in turnout or registration, though the short voting window leaves limited scope for last-minute shifts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoUnited Russia 92.6%
Rodina 4.8%
LDPR 1.5%
A Just Russia <1%

United Russia
93%

Rodina
5%

LDPR
2%

A Just Russia
1%

CPRF
1%

New People
<1%

Communists of Russia
<1%

Party of Pensioners
<1%
United Russia 92.6%
Rodina 4.8%
LDPR 1.5%
A Just Russia <1%

United Russia
93%

Rodina
5%

LDPR
2%

A Just Russia
1%

CPRF
1%

New People
<1%

Communists of Russia
<1%

Party of Pensioners
<1%
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Tver Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Tver Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Tver Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Tver Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 28, 2026, 12:10 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Tver Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Tver Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Tver Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Tver Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...United Russia holds a commanding lead in the Tver Oblast Legislative Assembly election market, priced above 92 percent, reflecting its status as the incumbent ruling party with registered candidates across all 20 single-mandate districts and the proportional list. The September 18–20 vote coincides with national Duma and gubernatorial contests, where United Russia benefits from established organizational reach, prior control of 29 of 40 seats, and a mixed electoral system that rewards broad registration and local administration. Other parties, including CPRF, LDPR, A Just Russia, and smaller groups like Rodina or New People, remain fragmented with far lower implied probabilities due to narrower support bases and fewer competitive slots. Traders view major upsets as unlikely absent unforeseen disruptions in turnout or registration, though the short voting window leaves limited scope for last-minute shifts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions