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icon for Zelensky sairá como presidente da Ucrânia até o final de 2026?
Política·Ucrânia

Zelensky sairá como presidente da Ucrânia até o final de 2026?

icon for Zelensky sairá como presidente da Ucrânia até o final de 2026?
Política·Ucrânia

Zelensky sairá como presidente da Ucrânia até o final de 2026?

dez 31

dez 31

Sim

6% chance
Polymarket

$2,969,854 Vol.

Sim

6% chance
Polymarket

$2,969,854 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Volodymyr Zelenskyy ceases to be President of Ukraine for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Volodymyr Zelenskyy's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Volodymyr Zelenskyy and the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Martial law in Ukraine, extended through October 31, 2026, continues to bar presidential elections under constitutional rules that prohibit voting during active wartime conditions. This legal barrier, repeatedly approved by parliament, has kept incumbent Volodymyr Zelenskyy in office beyond his original May 2024 term end, with all major parties aligned on holding any vote no earlier than six months after restrictions lift. Recent government reshuffles, including the July 2026 prime minister change, have not altered presidential tenure or triggered early polls, while public polling shows limited domestic pressure for immediate elections absent a ceasefire. Traders price the low probability of removal by year-end around these institutional and security constraints.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Volodymyr Zelenskyy ceases to be President of Ukraine for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Volodymyr Zelenskyy's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Volodymyr Zelenskyy and the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,969,854
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x157Ce2d67...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Volodymyr Zelenskyy ceases to be President of Ukraine for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Volodymyr Zelenskyy's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Volodymyr Zelenskyy and the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Volodymyr Zelenskyy ceases to be President of Ukraine for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Volodymyr Zelenskyy's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Volodymyr Zelenskyy and the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Martial law in Ukraine, extended through October 31, 2026, continues to bar presidential elections under constitutional rules that prohibit voting during active wartime conditions. This legal barrier, repeatedly approved by parliament, has kept incumbent Volodymyr Zelenskyy in office beyond his original May 2024 term end, with all major parties aligned on holding any vote no earlier than six months after restrictions lift. Recent government reshuffles, including the July 2026 prime minister change, have not altered presidential tenure or triggered early polls, while public polling shows limited domestic pressure for immediate elections absent a ceasefire. Traders price the low probability of removal by year-end around these institutional and security constraints.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Volodymyr Zelenskyy ceases to be President of Ukraine for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Volodymyr Zelenskyy's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Volodymyr Zelenskyy and the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,969,854
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x157Ce2d67...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Volodymyr Zelenskyy ceases to be President of Ukraine for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Volodymyr Zelenskyy's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Volodymyr Zelenskyy and the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Zelensky sairá como presidente da Ucrânia até o final de 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Zelenskyy deixará de ser presidente da Ucrânia até o final de 2026?" at 6%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 6¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 6% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Zelensky sairá como presidente da Ucrânia até o final de 2026?" has generated $3 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 24, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Zelensky sairá como presidente da Ucrânia até o final de 2026?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "Zelensky sairá como presidente da Ucrânia até o final de 2026?" is "Zelenskyy deixará de ser presidente da Ucrânia até o final de 2026?" at just 6%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "Zelensky sairá como presidente da Ucrânia até o final de 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.