Taiwan President Lai Ching-te faces minimal risk of leaving office by the end of 2026 due to his four-year term extending through 2028 and the high constitutional threshold required for impeachment or removal. Opposition parties launched proceedings in late 2025 over a disputed local funding bill, with a legislative vote scheduled for May 19, yet passage demands a three-quarters majority that the combined KMT and TPP seats cannot reach. Lai continues active governance, including recent defense spending increases to 3.3 percent of GDP, tax reduction measures, and international engagement such as his May 2026 trip to Eswatini. These factors reinforce trader consensus that the sitting president will complete the bulk of his term absent unforeseen developments like health events or major scandals.