Taiwan's opposition parties launched impeachment proceedings against President Lai Ching-te in late 2025 over disputes involving revenue allocation legislation, but the Legislative Yuan's May 19, 2026, vote fell short of the required two-thirds supermajority with only 56 votes in favor. This constitutional threshold must be cleared before any case advances to the Constitutional Court for review. With the June 30 deadline now just days away and no new legislative motion underway, traders see negligible prospects for completion of the multi-step process. The opposition's seat shortfall and the compressed timeline reinforce the near-certain "No" pricing. Late developments such as an unprecedented emergency session or procedural reinterpretation remain theoretically possible yet face prohibitive barriers given institutional requirements and current legislative arithmetic.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoLai Ching-te impeached by June 30?
Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30?
$1,358,695 Vol.
$1,358,695 Vol.
30 jun 2026
$1,358,695 Vol.
$1,358,695 Vol.
30 jun 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.Taiwan's opposition parties launched impeachment proceedings against President Lai Ching-te in late 2025 over disputes involving revenue allocation legislation, but the Legislative Yuan's May 19, 2026, vote fell short of the required two-thirds supermajority with only 56 votes in favor. This constitutional threshold must be cleared before any case advances to the Constitutional Court for review. With the June 30 deadline now just days away and no new legislative motion underway, traders see negligible prospects for completion of the multi-step process. The opposition's seat shortfall and the compressed timeline reinforce the near-certain "No" pricing. Late developments such as an unprecedented emergency session or procedural reinterpretation remain theoretically possible yet face prohibitive barriers given institutional requirements and current legislative arithmetic.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Mercado Aberto: Jan 2, 2026, 8:15 AM ET
Volume
$1,358,695Data de Término
30 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 2, 2026, 8:15 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.Taiwan's opposition parties launched impeachment proceedings against President Lai Ching-te in late 2025 over disputes involving revenue allocation legislation, but the Legislative Yuan's May 19, 2026, vote fell short of the required two-thirds supermajority with only 56 votes in favor. This constitutional threshold must be cleared before any case advances to the Constitutional Court for review. With the June 30 deadline now just days away and no new legislative motion underway, traders see negligible prospects for completion of the multi-step process. The opposition's seat shortfall and the compressed timeline reinforce the near-certain "No" pricing. Late developments such as an unprecedented emergency session or procedural reinterpretation remain theoretically possible yet face prohibitive barriers given institutional requirements and current legislative arithmetic.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Volume
$1,358,695Data de Término
30 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 2, 2026, 8:15 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Taiwan's opposition parties launched impeachment proceedings against President Lai Ching-te in late 2025 over disputes involving revenue allocation legislation, but the Legislative Yuan's May 19, 2026, vote fell short of the required two-thirds supermajority with only 56 votes in favor. This constitutional threshold must be cleared before any case advances to the Constitutional Court for review. With the June 30 deadline now just days away and no new legislative motion underway, traders see negligible prospects for completion of the multi-step process. The opposition's seat shortfall and the compressed timeline reinforce the near-certain "No" pricing. Late developments such as an unprecedented emergency session or procedural reinterpretation remain theoretically possible yet face prohibitive barriers given institutional requirements and current legislative arithmetic.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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