President Lee Jae-myung's commanding position drives the 90.8% "No" probability on impeachment before 2027, as his Democratic Party holds a National Assembly majority insufficient for the opposition People Power Party to secure the two-thirds vote needed to advance a motion, let alone Constitutional Court ratification for grave violations. Recent delays in reviewing a public impeachment petition exceeding 150,000 signatures—extended to May 2028 by the Legislation and Judiciary Committee—highlight ruling party control but no procedural progress toward actual impeachment. With no major scandals in the past 30 days and Yoon Suk-yeol's February conviction further weakening rivals, traders price in stability ahead of June 3 local elections where Lee's party leads polls decisively. Late-breaking crises could alter odds, but current catalysts favor continuity.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoLee Jae-myung sofreu impeachment antes de 2027?
Lee Jae-myung sofreu impeachment antes de 2027?
Sim
NOVO
NOVO
31 dez 2026
Sim
NOVO
NOVO
31 dez 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.President Lee Jae-myung's commanding position drives the 90.8% "No" probability on impeachment before 2027, as his Democratic Party holds a National Assembly majority insufficient for the opposition People Power Party to secure the two-thirds vote needed to advance a motion, let alone Constitutional Court ratification for grave violations. Recent delays in reviewing a public impeachment petition exceeding 150,000 signatures—extended to May 2028 by the Legislation and Judiciary Committee—highlight ruling party control but no procedural progress toward actual impeachment. With no major scandals in the past 30 days and Yoon Suk-yeol's February conviction further weakening rivals, traders price in stability ahead of June 3 local elections where Lee's party leads polls decisively. Late-breaking crises could alter odds, but current catalysts favor continuity.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Mercado Aberto: Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ET
Volume
$9,155Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.President Lee Jae-myung's commanding position drives the 90.8% "No" probability on impeachment before 2027, as his Democratic Party holds a National Assembly majority insufficient for the opposition People Power Party to secure the two-thirds vote needed to advance a motion, let alone Constitutional Court ratification for grave violations. Recent delays in reviewing a public impeachment petition exceeding 150,000 signatures—extended to May 2028 by the Legislation and Judiciary Committee—highlight ruling party control but no procedural progress toward actual impeachment. With no major scandals in the past 30 days and Yoon Suk-yeol's February conviction further weakening rivals, traders price in stability ahead of June 3 local elections where Lee's party leads polls decisively. Late-breaking crises could alter odds, but current catalysts favor continuity.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Volume
$9,155Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Lee Jae-myung's commanding position drives the 90.8% "No" probability on impeachment before 2027, as his Democratic Party holds a National Assembly majority insufficient for the opposition People Power Party to secure the two-thirds vote needed to advance a motion, let alone Constitutional Court ratification for grave violations. Recent delays in reviewing a public impeachment petition exceeding 150,000 signatures—extended to May 2028 by the Legislation and Judiciary Committee—highlight ruling party control but no procedural progress toward actual impeachment. With no major scandals in the past 30 days and Yoon Suk-yeol's February conviction further weakening rivals, traders price in stability ahead of June 3 local elections where Lee's party leads polls decisively. Late-breaking crises could alter odds, but current catalysts favor continuity.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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