Recent South Korean CPI data showing a July 2026 reading of 2.8% year-over-year, down from 3.2% in June, alongside the Bank of Korea’s 2.7% full-year headline inflation projection, anchor trader sentiment for the 2026 annual rate. The central bank’s July 25-basis-point rate hike to 2.75% and forward guidance citing persistent pressures from oil prices, a weaker won, and robust semiconductor exports have supported the narrow lead for the 2.7–2.9% range at 32.8% implied probability. Closely contested outcomes around 2.4–3.0% reflect uncertainty over whether moderating transport and food components will persist or if wage growth and fiscal stimulus sustain above-target readings through year-end. Key upcoming catalysts include August CPI, the next BoK policy decision, and any revisions to official forecasts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado2,7% a 2,9% 32.8%
3,0%+ 28.6%
2,4% a 2,6% 23.8%
2,1% a 2,3% 13.2%
$31,215 Vol.
$31,215 Vol.
31 dez 2026
<1,5%
3%
1,5% a 1,7%
2%
1,8% a 2,0%
1%
2,1% a 2,3%
13%
2,4% a 2,6%
24%
2,7% a 2,9%
33%
3,0%+
29%
2,7% a 2,9% 32.8%
3,0%+ 28.6%
2,4% a 2,6% 23.8%
2,1% a 2,3% 13.2%
$31,215 Vol.
$31,215 Vol.
31 dez 2026
<1,5%
$2,448 Vol.
3%
1,5% a 1,7%
$2,323 Vol.
2%
1,8% a 2,0%
$1,474 Vol.
1%
2,1% a 2,3%
$4,055 Vol.
13%
2,4% a 2,6%
$4,290 Vol.
24%
2,7% a 2,9%
$4,993 Vol.
33%
3,0%+
$11,633 Vol.
29%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000Recent South Korean CPI data showing a July 2026 reading of 2.8% year-over-year, down from 3.2% in June, alongside the Bank of Korea’s 2.7% full-year headline inflation projection, anchor trader sentiment for the 2026 annual rate. The central bank’s July 25-basis-point rate hike to 2.75% and forward guidance citing persistent pressures from oil prices, a weaker won, and robust semiconductor exports have supported the narrow lead for the 2.7–2.9% range at 32.8% implied probability. Closely contested outcomes around 2.4–3.0% reflect uncertainty over whether moderating transport and food components will persist or if wage growth and fiscal stimulus sustain above-target readings through year-end. Key upcoming catalysts include August CPI, the next BoK policy decision, and any revisions to official forecasts.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
Mercado Aberto: Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
Volume
$31,215Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000Recent South Korean CPI data showing a July 2026 reading of 2.8% year-over-year, down from 3.2% in June, alongside the Bank of Korea’s 2.7% full-year headline inflation projection, anchor trader sentiment for the 2026 annual rate. The central bank’s July 25-basis-point rate hike to 2.75% and forward guidance citing persistent pressures from oil prices, a weaker won, and robust semiconductor exports have supported the narrow lead for the 2.7–2.9% range at 32.8% implied probability. Closely contested outcomes around 2.4–3.0% reflect uncertainty over whether moderating transport and food components will persist or if wage growth and fiscal stimulus sustain above-target readings through year-end. Key upcoming catalysts include August CPI, the next BoK policy decision, and any revisions to official forecasts.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
Volume
$31,215Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent South Korean CPI data showing a July 2026 reading of 2.8% year-over-year, down from 3.2% in June, alongside the Bank of Korea’s 2.7% full-year headline inflation projection, anchor trader sentiment for the 2026 annual rate. The central bank’s July 25-basis-point rate hike to 2.75% and forward guidance citing persistent pressures from oil prices, a weaker won, and robust semiconductor exports have supported the narrow lead for the 2.7–2.9% range at 32.8% implied probability. Closely contested outcomes around 2.4–3.0% reflect uncertainty over whether moderating transport and food components will persist or if wage growth and fiscal stimulus sustain above-target readings through year-end. Key upcoming catalysts include August CPI, the next BoK policy decision, and any revisions to official forecasts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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