Recent April 2026 consumer price data showing a 2.6% year-over-year increase—the fastest pace in nearly two years—driven by higher oil prices from Middle East tensions, forms the primary driver behind current market-implied odds for South Korea’s full-year inflation. This acceleration, up from 2.2% in March, has lifted consensus forecasts to 2.5% and concentrated probabilities on the 2.1–2.6% range, which together exceed 75%. Core inflation holding steady near 2.2% alongside Bank of Korea signals of heightened vigilance at the May policy meeting create tight competition among the 2.1–2.9% brackets. Energy cost trends and the upcoming May CPI release remain the key swing factors for these closely matched outcomes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado3,0%+ 43%
2,4% a 2,6% 37.3%
1,5% a 1,7% 8%
<1,5% 5.9%
$11,072 Vol.
$11,072 Vol.
<1,5%
6%
1,5% a 1,7%
8%
1,8% a 2,0%
31%
2,1% a 2,3%
36%
2,4% a 2,6%
37%
2,7% a 2,9%
34%
3,0%+
28%
3,0%+ 43%
2,4% a 2,6% 37.3%
1,5% a 1,7% 8%
<1,5% 5.9%
$11,072 Vol.
$11,072 Vol.
<1,5%
6%
1,5% a 1,7%
8%
1,8% a 2,0%
31%
2,1% a 2,3%
36%
2,4% a 2,6%
37%
2,7% a 2,9%
34%
3,0%+
28%
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
Mercado Aberto: Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent April 2026 consumer price data showing a 2.6% year-over-year increase—the fastest pace in nearly two years—driven by higher oil prices from Middle East tensions, forms the primary driver behind current market-implied odds for South Korea’s full-year inflation. This acceleration, up from 2.2% in March, has lifted consensus forecasts to 2.5% and concentrated probabilities on the 2.1–2.6% range, which together exceed 75%. Core inflation holding steady near 2.2% alongside Bank of Korea signals of heightened vigilance at the May policy meeting create tight competition among the 2.1–2.9% brackets. Energy cost trends and the upcoming May CPI release remain the key swing factors for these closely matched outcomes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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