Polymarket traders price a 44.5% implied probability on Argentina's May monthly CPI falling in the 2.2–2.4% range, reflecting consensus around continued disinflation following INDEC's May 14 release showing April inflation eased to 2.6% from March's 3.4%—the first slowdown in 11 months and slightly above the 2.5% median forecast. This momentum stems from President Milei's fiscal austerity and monetary tightening amid stabilizing energy prices post-Iran tensions, though Central Bank REM survey medians on May 7 raised full-year 2026 inflation expectations to 30.5%. Higher bins like 3.1–3.9% (27.5% each) capture risks from wage pressures and currency volatility, with resolution pending mid-June INDEC data.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado2.2–2.4% 53%
3.1–3.3% 27%
≤2,1% 26%
3.4–3.6% 26%
NOVO
$46,508 Vol.
NOVO
$46,508 Vol.
11 jun 2026
≤2,1%
26%
2.2–2.4%
43%
2.5–2.7%
25%
2.8–3.0%
11%
3.1–3.3%
27%
3.4–3.6%
26%
3.7–3.9%
25%
4.0%+
10%
2.2–2.4% 53%
3.1–3.3% 27%
≤2,1% 26%
3.4–3.6% 26%
NOVO
$46,508 Vol.
NOVO
$46,508 Vol.
11 jun 2026
≤2,1%
$410 Vol.
26%
2.2–2.4%
$46,046 Vol.
43%
2.5–2.7%
$0 Vol.
25%
2.8–3.0%
$3 Vol.
11%
3.1–3.3%
$0 Vol.
27%
3.4–3.6%
$0 Vol.
26%
3.7–3.9%
$0 Vol.
25%
4.0%+
$62 Vol.
10%
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in May 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on June 11, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Polymarket traders price a 44.5% implied probability on Argentina's May monthly CPI falling in the 2.2–2.4% range, reflecting consensus around continued disinflation following INDEC's May 14 release showing April inflation eased to 2.6% from March's 3.4%—the first slowdown in 11 months and slightly above the 2.5% median forecast. This momentum stems from President Milei's fiscal austerity and monetary tightening amid stabilizing energy prices post-Iran tensions, though Central Bank REM survey medians on May 7 raised full-year 2026 inflation expectations to 30.5%. Higher bins like 3.1–3.9% (27.5% each) capture risks from wage pressures and currency volatility, with resolution pending mid-June INDEC data.
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in May 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on June 11, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in May 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on June 11, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Mercado Aberto: May 13, 2026, 5:13 PM ET
Volume
$46,508Data de Término
11 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
May 13, 2026, 5:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in May 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on June 11, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Polymarket traders price a 44.5% implied probability on Argentina's May monthly CPI falling in the 2.2–2.4% range, reflecting consensus around continued disinflation following INDEC's May 14 release showing April inflation eased to 2.6% from March's 3.4%—the first slowdown in 11 months and slightly above the 2.5% median forecast. This momentum stems from President Milei's fiscal austerity and monetary tightening amid stabilizing energy prices post-Iran tensions, though Central Bank REM survey medians on May 7 raised full-year 2026 inflation expectations to 30.5%. Higher bins like 3.1–3.9% (27.5% each) capture risks from wage pressures and currency volatility, with resolution pending mid-June INDEC data.
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in May 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on June 11, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in May 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on June 11, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$46,508Data de Término
11 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
May 13, 2026, 5:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket traders price a 44.5% implied probability on Argentina's May monthly CPI falling in the 2.2–2.4% range, reflecting consensus around continued disinflation following INDEC's May 14 release showing April inflation eased to 2.6% from March's 3.4%—the first slowdown in 11 months and slightly above the 2.5% median forecast. This momentum stems from President Milei's fiscal austerity and monetary tightening amid stabilizing energy prices post-Iran tensions, though Central Bank REM survey medians on May 7 raised full-year 2026 inflation expectations to 30.5%. Higher bins like 3.1–3.9% (27.5% each) capture risks from wage pressures and currency volatility, with resolution pending mid-June INDEC data.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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