Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 89.5% implied probability that Anthropic will achieve a higher valuation than OpenAI at some point in 2026, driven primarily by the AI developer's advanced talks to raise $30-50 billion at a pre-money valuation exceeding $900 billion—surpassing OpenAI's $852 billion post-money mark from its March 31 funding round. This shift reflects Anthropic's accelerated revenue run-rate to $30 billion annualized by early 2026, outpacing OpenAI's approximately $25 billion, fueled by enterprise adoption of Claude models and securing eight Fortune 10 clients. With the round potentially closing by late May amid Silicon Valley's AI investment frenzy, traders anticipate a valuation crossover, though deal risks and OpenAI's enterprise pivot remain key uncertainties ahead of year-end resolutions.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado$73,268 Vol.
$73,268 Vol.
31 dez 2026
$73,268 Vol.
$73,268 Vol.
31 dez 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point, Anthropic's most recent public or private valuation is greater than OpenAI's most recent public or private valuation, by December 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price).
The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 89.5% implied probability that Anthropic will achieve a higher valuation than OpenAI at some point in 2026, driven primarily by the AI developer's advanced talks to raise $30-50 billion at a pre-money valuation exceeding $900 billion—surpassing OpenAI's $852 billion post-money mark from its March 31 funding round. This shift reflects Anthropic's accelerated revenue run-rate to $30 billion annualized by early 2026, outpacing OpenAI's approximately $25 billion, fueled by enterprise adoption of Claude models and securing eight Fortune 10 clients. With the round potentially closing by late May amid Silicon Valley's AI investment frenzy, traders anticipate a valuation crossover, though deal risks and OpenAI's enterprise pivot remain key uncertainties ahead of year-end resolutions.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point, Anthropic's most recent public or private valuation is greater than OpenAI's most recent public or private valuation, by December 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price).
The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price).
The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 14, 2026, 4:55 PM ET
Volume
$73,268Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 14, 2026, 4:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point, Anthropic's most recent public or private valuation is greater than OpenAI's most recent public or private valuation, by December 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price).
The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 89.5% implied probability that Anthropic will achieve a higher valuation than OpenAI at some point in 2026, driven primarily by the AI developer's advanced talks to raise $30-50 billion at a pre-money valuation exceeding $900 billion—surpassing OpenAI's $852 billion post-money mark from its March 31 funding round. This shift reflects Anthropic's accelerated revenue run-rate to $30 billion annualized by early 2026, outpacing OpenAI's approximately $25 billion, fueled by enterprise adoption of Claude models and securing eight Fortune 10 clients. With the round potentially closing by late May amid Silicon Valley's AI investment frenzy, traders anticipate a valuation crossover, though deal risks and OpenAI's enterprise pivot remain key uncertainties ahead of year-end resolutions.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point, Anthropic's most recent public or private valuation is greater than OpenAI's most recent public or private valuation, by December 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price).
The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price).
The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$73,268Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 14, 2026, 4:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 89.5% implied probability that Anthropic will achieve a higher valuation than OpenAI at some point in 2026, driven primarily by the AI developer's advanced talks to raise $30-50 billion at a pre-money valuation exceeding $900 billion—surpassing OpenAI's $852 billion post-money mark from its March 31 funding round. This shift reflects Anthropic's accelerated revenue run-rate to $30 billion annualized by early 2026, outpacing OpenAI's approximately $25 billion, fueled by enterprise adoption of Claude models and securing eight Fortune 10 clients. With the round potentially closing by late May amid Silicon Valley's AI investment frenzy, traders anticipate a valuation crossover, though deal risks and OpenAI's enterprise pivot remain key uncertainties ahead of year-end resolutions.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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