Polymarket traders are closely split, pricing 0.5% monthly CPI at 50% alongside ≥0.9% at 50%, reflecting uncertainty after April 2026's hotter-than-expected Consumer Price Index rose 0.6% month-over-month—versus consensus for milder gains—with core CPI accelerating 0.4% monthly and 2.8% annually amid sticky shelter costs and energy surges. This follows March's 0.9% headline jump, the largest since 2022, fueling trader debate on whether inflation momentum persists into May via gasoline volatility and services pricing. Consensus forecasts hover near 0.5-0.6% monthly for the June 10 release, but elevated Treasury yields and Fed hawkishness amplify risks of an upside surprise, with no clear swing data yet to break the deadlock.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado0.5% 30%
0.6% 28%
0.8% 18%
0.4% 18%
NOVO
NOVO
10 jun 2026
≤0.1%
9%
0.2%
15%
0.3%
11%
0.4%
30%
0.5%
30%
0.6%
28%
0.7%
14%
0.8%
18%
≥0.9%
13%
0.5% 30%
0.6% 28%
0.8% 18%
0.4% 18%
NOVO
NOVO
10 jun 2026
≤0.1%
$29 Vol.
9%
0.2%
$27 Vol.
15%
0.3%
$108 Vol.
11%
0.4%
$438 Vol.
30%
0.5%
$27 Vol.
30%
0.6%
$27 Vol.
28%
0.7%
$27 Vol.
14%
0.8%
$27 Vol.
18%
≥0.9%
$27 Vol.
13%
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Polymarket traders are closely split, pricing 0.5% monthly CPI at 50% alongside ≥0.9% at 50%, reflecting uncertainty after April 2026's hotter-than-expected Consumer Price Index rose 0.6% month-over-month—versus consensus for milder gains—with core CPI accelerating 0.4% monthly and 2.8% annually amid sticky shelter costs and energy surges. This follows March's 0.9% headline jump, the largest since 2022, fueling trader debate on whether inflation momentum persists into May via gasoline volatility and services pricing. Consensus forecasts hover near 0.5-0.6% monthly for the June 10 release, but elevated Treasury yields and Fed hawkishness amplify risks of an upside surprise, with no clear swing data yet to break the deadlock.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Mercado Aberto: May 12, 2026, 3:00 PM ET
Volume
$736Data de Término
10 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
May 12, 2026, 3:00 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Polymarket traders are closely split, pricing 0.5% monthly CPI at 50% alongside ≥0.9% at 50%, reflecting uncertainty after April 2026's hotter-than-expected Consumer Price Index rose 0.6% month-over-month—versus consensus for milder gains—with core CPI accelerating 0.4% monthly and 2.8% annually amid sticky shelter costs and energy surges. This follows March's 0.9% headline jump, the largest since 2022, fueling trader debate on whether inflation momentum persists into May via gasoline volatility and services pricing. Consensus forecasts hover near 0.5-0.6% monthly for the June 10 release, but elevated Treasury yields and Fed hawkishness amplify risks of an upside surprise, with no clear swing data yet to break the deadlock.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volume
$736Data de Término
10 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
May 12, 2026, 3:00 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket traders are closely split, pricing 0.5% monthly CPI at 50% alongside ≥0.9% at 50%, reflecting uncertainty after April 2026's hotter-than-expected Consumer Price Index rose 0.6% month-over-month—versus consensus for milder gains—with core CPI accelerating 0.4% monthly and 2.8% annually amid sticky shelter costs and energy surges. This follows March's 0.9% headline jump, the largest since 2022, fueling trader debate on whether inflation momentum persists into May via gasoline volatility and services pricing. Consensus forecasts hover near 0.5-0.6% monthly for the June 10 release, but elevated Treasury yields and Fed hawkishness amplify risks of an upside surprise, with no clear swing data yet to break the deadlock.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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