South Korea’s President Lee Jae-myung assumed office in June 2025 following a landslide victory in the snap election triggered by his predecessor’s impeachment. His five-year term runs through 2030, and the Democratic Party’s majority in the National Assembly provides a strong buffer against removal. Constitutional immunity has paused earlier legal proceedings, while opposition efforts to advance impeachment or constitutional changes have lacked the two-thirds legislative support required. Recent political stability, pragmatic foreign policy moves, and preparations for the June 2026 local elections further reinforce expectations that Lee will complete at least his first eighteen months in office without interruption. Traders therefore assign overwhelming probability to him remaining president through the end of 2026.