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icon for Trump sofrerá impeachment até o final de 2026?

Trump sofrerá impeachment até o final de 2026?

icon for Trump sofrerá impeachment até o final de 2026?

Trump sofrerá impeachment até o final de 2026?

Sim

13% chance
Polymarket

$709,151 Vol.

Sim

13% chance
Polymarket

$709,151 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Republican control of the House, requiring a simple majority to pass impeachment articles against President Trump, anchors the 87% "No" trader consensus through December 31, 2026. Democratic rhetoric persists, including Rep. Jamie Raskin's April briefing to House Democrats on impeachment and 25th Amendment options, alongside polls showing majority voter support, but lacks procedural traction without GOP defections. Trump warned in January that a 2026 midterm House flip could enable efforts, yet Senate conviction demands a two-thirds supermajority Republicans are positioned to block. Absent major scandals or midterm upheaval, traders see slim paths to House passage or Senate removal.

This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Volume
$709,151
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ET

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Republican control of the House, requiring a simple majority to pass impeachment articles against President Trump, anchors the 87% "No" trader consensus through December 31, 2026. Democratic rhetoric persists, including Rep. Jamie Raskin's April briefing to House Democrats on impeachment and 25th Amendment options, alongside polls showing majority voter support, but lacks procedural traction without GOP defections. Trump warned in January that a 2026 midterm House flip could enable efforts, yet Senate conviction demands a two-thirds supermajority Republicans are positioned to block. Absent major scandals or midterm upheaval, traders see slim paths to House passage or Senate removal.

This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Volume
$709,151
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ET

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Trump sofrerá impeachment até o final de 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Trump será impugnado até o final de 2026?" at 13%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 13¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 13% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Trump sofrerá impeachment até o final de 2026?" has generated $709.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 25, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Trump sofrerá impeachment até o final de 2026?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Trump sofrerá impeachment até o final de 2026?" is "Trump será impugnado até o final de 2026?" at 13%, meaning the market assigns a 13% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Trump sofrerá impeachment até o final de 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.