**Democratic-led impeachment articles against former DHS Secretary Kristi Noem, introduced in January 2026, have not advanced.** House Democrats, led by Rep. Robin Kelly, filed three articles citing alleged obstruction of congressional oversight, statements on use of force by ICE/CBP agents, and a contract award issue. The resolution quickly gained around 70 cosponsors, all within the Democratic caucus, and was referred to the House Judiciary Committee. With Republican majorities in the House and Senate during the 119th Congress, the effort lacked the votes needed for floor consideration or a successful impeachment. Republican lawmakers, including South Dakota Rep. Dusty Johnson, publicly dismissed the push as unlikely to succeed. No committee hearings, markups, or votes have occurred in the seven months since introduction, and Noem transitioned out of the DHS role later in 2026. These factors—partisan sponsorship, procedural stagnation, and institutional control—underpin the market’s 90.5% implied probability that impeachment will not occur in 2026. Late-session developments or unexpected bipartisan momentum remain the only realistic paths that could alter the trajectory before year-end.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoKristi Noem sofreu impeachment em 2026?
Kristi Noem sofreu impeachment em 2026?
Sim
10% chance
$20,175 Vol.
$20,175 Vol.
31 dez 2026
Sim
10% chance
$20,175 Vol.
$20,175 Vol.
31 dez 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of Homeland Security Kristi Noem, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.**Democratic-led impeachment articles against former DHS Secretary Kristi Noem, introduced in January 2026, have not advanced.** House Democrats, led by Rep. Robin Kelly, filed three articles citing alleged obstruction of congressional oversight, statements on use of force by ICE/CBP agents, and a contract award issue. The resolution quickly gained around 70 cosponsors, all within the Democratic caucus, and was referred to the House Judiciary Committee.
With Republican majorities in the House and Senate during the 119th Congress, the effort lacked the votes needed for floor consideration or a successful impeachment. Republican lawmakers, including South Dakota Rep. Dusty Johnson, publicly dismissed the push as unlikely to succeed. No committee hearings, markups, or votes have occurred in the seven months since introduction, and Noem transitioned out of the DHS role later in 2026.
These factors—partisan sponsorship, procedural stagnation, and institutional control—underpin the market’s 90.5% implied probability that impeachment will not occur in 2026. Late-session developments or unexpected bipartisan momentum remain the only realistic paths that could alter the trajectory before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of Homeland Security Kristi Noem, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Mercado Aberto: Jan 19, 2026, 3:19 PM ET
Volume
$20,175Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 19, 2026, 3:19 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of Homeland Security Kristi Noem, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.**Democratic-led impeachment articles against former DHS Secretary Kristi Noem, introduced in January 2026, have not advanced.** House Democrats, led by Rep. Robin Kelly, filed three articles citing alleged obstruction of congressional oversight, statements on use of force by ICE/CBP agents, and a contract award issue. The resolution quickly gained around 70 cosponsors, all within the Democratic caucus, and was referred to the House Judiciary Committee.
With Republican majorities in the House and Senate during the 119th Congress, the effort lacked the votes needed for floor consideration or a successful impeachment. Republican lawmakers, including South Dakota Rep. Dusty Johnson, publicly dismissed the push as unlikely to succeed. No committee hearings, markups, or votes have occurred in the seven months since introduction, and Noem transitioned out of the DHS role later in 2026.
These factors—partisan sponsorship, procedural stagnation, and institutional control—underpin the market’s 90.5% implied probability that impeachment will not occur in 2026. Late-session developments or unexpected bipartisan momentum remain the only realistic paths that could alter the trajectory before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of Homeland Security Kristi Noem, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Volume
$20,175Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 19, 2026, 3:19 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Democratic-led impeachment articles against former DHS Secretary Kristi Noem, introduced in January 2026, have not advanced.** House Democrats, led by Rep. Robin Kelly, filed three articles citing alleged obstruction of congressional oversight, statements on use of force by ICE/CBP agents, and a contract award issue. The resolution quickly gained around 70 cosponsors, all within the Democratic caucus, and was referred to the House Judiciary Committee. With Republican majorities in the House and Senate during the 119th Congress, the effort lacked the votes needed for floor consideration or a successful impeachment. Republican lawmakers, including South Dakota Rep. Dusty Johnson, publicly dismissed the push as unlikely to succeed. No committee hearings, markups, or votes have occurred in the seven months since introduction, and Noem transitioned out of the DHS role later in 2026. These factors—partisan sponsorship, procedural stagnation, and institutional control—underpin the market’s 90.5% implied probability that impeachment will not occur in 2026. Late-session developments or unexpected bipartisan momentum remain the only realistic paths that could alter the trajectory before year-end.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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