Trader consensus prices impeachment at 64.5% yes, driven primarily by prediction markets favoring Democrats to capture a House majority in the November 2026 midterms—historical patterns show the president's party loses seats, bolstered by recent generic ballot polls giving Democrats a modest edge. This would enable a simple-majority House vote on articles, as seen in April 2026 filings like H.Res.939 by Rep. John Larson and others citing high crimes and misdemeanors, amid a push from progressive Democrats despite leadership caution. While Senate conviction requires a two-thirds supermajority and remains unlikely with Republican control, House impeachment alone resolves the market yes before Trump's January 2029 term end. Upcoming primaries and swing-district races could shift House control odds.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoSim
$62,235 Vol.
$62,235 Vol.
20 jan 2029
Sim
$62,235 Vol.
$62,235 Vol.
20 jan 2029
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Trader consensus prices impeachment at 64.5% yes, driven primarily by prediction markets favoring Democrats to capture a House majority in the November 2026 midterms—historical patterns show the president's party loses seats, bolstered by recent generic ballot polls giving Democrats a modest edge. This would enable a simple-majority House vote on articles, as seen in April 2026 filings like H.Res.939 by Rep. John Larson and others citing high crimes and misdemeanors, amid a push from progressive Democrats despite leadership caution. While Senate conviction requires a two-thirds supermajority and remains unlikely with Republican control, House impeachment alone resolves the market yes before Trump's January 2029 term end. Upcoming primaries and swing-district races could shift House control odds.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ET
Volume
$62,235Data de Término
20 jan 2029Mercado Aberto
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Trader consensus prices impeachment at 64.5% yes, driven primarily by prediction markets favoring Democrats to capture a House majority in the November 2026 midterms—historical patterns show the president's party loses seats, bolstered by recent generic ballot polls giving Democrats a modest edge. This would enable a simple-majority House vote on articles, as seen in April 2026 filings like H.Res.939 by Rep. John Larson and others citing high crimes and misdemeanors, amid a push from progressive Democrats despite leadership caution. While Senate conviction requires a two-thirds supermajority and remains unlikely with Republican control, House impeachment alone resolves the market yes before Trump's January 2029 term end. Upcoming primaries and swing-district races could shift House control odds.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Volume
$62,235Data de Término
20 jan 2029Mercado Aberto
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices impeachment at 64.5% yes, driven primarily by prediction markets favoring Democrats to capture a House majority in the November 2026 midterms—historical patterns show the president's party loses seats, bolstered by recent generic ballot polls giving Democrats a modest edge. This would enable a simple-majority House vote on articles, as seen in April 2026 filings like H.Res.939 by Rep. John Larson and others citing high crimes and misdemeanors, amid a push from progressive Democrats despite leadership caution. While Senate conviction requires a two-thirds supermajority and remains unlikely with Republican control, House impeachment alone resolves the market yes before Trump's January 2029 term end. Upcoming primaries and swing-district races could shift House control odds.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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